Ethereum
Updated

Battling Pitchforks Put ETH in a No Trade Zone

290
Previous analysis/position: Wasn’t feeling good about long position and moved stop loss to breakeven.
Patterns: Battling pitchforks. h&s + bear flag on 1 hour
Horizontal support and resistance: R: $465.32 S: $452.21
ETHUSDSHORTS: Nearing the all time lows, making a short feel very attractive
12 & 26 EMA’s (calculate % difference): 12: -1.29% 26: -2.97% and angling down
50 & 128 MA’s: 50: -8.24% 128: -16.45% and just made bearish cross on 1h. Finding resistance at the 50 day MA.
FIB’s: 0.382 = $560.88 0.236 = $359
Candlestick analysis: 12h shooting star called the top
Ichimoku Cloud: Back below kijun on daily. Still a c clamp. Recently fell out of bearish 12h cloud.
TD’ Sequential: Combo 13 on the daily. Green 1 on the weekly
Visible Range: Support cluster at $360. Showing very little resistance above. When looking at 2018 it shows $429 -$470 as largest volume and very little until $660
Bollinger Bands: Pulling back from top band on daily, just fell through MA. Just found resistance at 3d MA.
Trendline: Still supporting hyperwave that connects the top of 5/3/17 to 7/4/18
Daily Trend: Bearish
Fractals: 4 down fractals at/around $412. Recently broke 2 up fractals. Next one is $554.
On Balance Volume: Has remained flat throughout this bear market.
Buy/Sell Sentiment on Trading View: RSI: 46.97 Stoch: 52.71 Sentiment is a sell - strong sell (counter trade).

Conclusion: No trade zone between $400 - $512. If it breaks above $512 then I expect it to rally to $680. Setting a stop entry at $516 would be a high probability long. If it breaks down below $400 then I would expect a move to $275 - $300. Setting a stop entry to at $394 would be a high probability short sale. I would not open a short right now due to the combo 13 on the daily chart.
Note
Getting a bounce off of the combo 13 and a potential tweezer bottom.

Quick tip: Most of the free TD Sequential indicators do not display the countdown numbers, but if you search for 'TD Combo' there are two free options from user @Randomehro.

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