As you can see ETH has been trading inside of this rising channel since the beginning of May. Rising channels favor a break to the downside, I've also highlighted some bearish divergence on the RSI which also points to a move down. The orange lines are long term weekly trend lines. The bottom orange line connects the 2022 lows through to the April lows, if price breaks down, expect a retest of the underside of the channel before moving down to the orange line around $1435. This would only be the third hit and third hits rarely breakdown. If it defies logic and breaks out above, look for it to move up to the top orange line around $3600, which connects the 2021 bull market highs through the march 24', May 24' and December 24' highs. If it comes into this area, it would be a 5th hit of a major weekly trendline, 5th hits have a very high probability of breaking out to the upside, if this happens it would be very bullish. In this scenario I would expect ETH to come down and test the top of said trendline as support before moving to new all-time highs. A Fibonacci retracement from the 2020 lows to the 2021 highs would put new price targets at $6,670 at the -0.382 as well as $7,800 at the -0.618.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.