$ETH Analysis — Correction Incoming?

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Summary:
After a strong ~100% rally in ETH, price hit a major resistance zone near $2734.78, triggering a significant sell-off, likely driven by algorithmic profit-taking. Now, the market is poised for a healthy correction before another potential leg up.

📉 What's Next for Ethereum?
🔍 Expecting a Correction of 7% to 25%
Based on technical structure and indicator behavior, ETH is likely to retrace to one of the two key zones:

✅ Primary Buy Zone ("Most Likely"): $2297.20
  • This zone aligns with previous structure support.
  • It’s where the price may form a higher low and resume its upward trend.
  • Ideal for opening a swing long with a tight risk-reward ratio.


🔥 Deeper Correction Opportunity: $1779.58
  • While less likely, a drop to this level would be a major long opportunity.
  • Aligns with historical demand and long-term support levels.
  • Also intersects with the yellow trendlines suggesting trend-based support zones.


📊 Why This Correction Makes Sense:
Weekly Money Flow Index (MFI) is Dropping:
  • MFI divergence suggests money is flowing out, weakening bullish momentum.
  • A trigger wave is forming, often preceding price corrections.


Algo Profit-Taking is Done:
  • Smart money likely exited around $2734.78 (highlighted in chart).
  • They’ll need to accumulate again at lower levels before the next rally.


📈 Potential Upside Targets:
If ETH respects the structure and finds support around $2297 or deeper, we could see a rally toward $3296.85 — a key Fibonacci extension and psychological level.

🧘‍♂️ Reminder:
No emotional entries. Let the price come to you. Trust the setup and stick to your plan.

📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just a breakdown of my trading thesis. Always manage your risk.

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