Instrument: Ethereum / USDT
Timeframe: 1-Day (D1)
Trade Type: Trend Continuation (Conditional Long)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.74
Duration: 2–6 months
📉 Trade Parameters (If Triggered)
Entry (Pending Trigger): 2,802.49
Target: 4,012.97
Stop Loss: 2,106.45
Risk: ~24.84%
Reward: ~43.19%
📌 Trade Thesis
This trade will be valid if ETH/USDT reclaims and holds above the 2,800 zone, confirming a bullish breakout continuation.
Currently, ETH is trading below the entry trigger, but the broader market structure and momentum suggest a potential move toward retesting the key breakout zone.
🧱 Structural Context
High-Volume Resistance: The 2,600–2,800 area is a historically significant resistance block, previously acting as supply during multiple failed attempts to break higher.
A clean break-and-hold above this region would confirm accumulation completion and mark a trend resumption.
📉 Momentum Signals
MACD: The MACD remains in bullish alignment, with positive histogram bars and a rising signal line. A renewed MACD surge on breakout would confirm trend continuation.
Stochastic RSI: Recently cooled from overbought and now resetting — this provides momentum room for a fresh leg upward if price breaks out.
🎯 Target Zone Rationale
4,000–4,100 is a macro swing high and psychological resistance area. It represents a natural magnet for bullish momentum once 2,800 is cleared and confirmed.
🧠 Strategy Notes
This is a conditional trade setup — do not enter unless price breaks and holds above 2,800 with supporting volume. The trade structure offers a healthy R:R of 1.74, but the wide stop reflects daily volatility and must be sized accordingly.
Keep watch for:
Bitcoin and NASDAQ correlation
Macro catalysts (e.g., inflation data, ETH ETF news)
Breakout confirmation via candle close above 2,800 on solid volume
Timeframe: 1-Day (D1)
Trade Type: Trend Continuation (Conditional Long)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.74
Duration: 2–6 months
📉 Trade Parameters (If Triggered)
Entry (Pending Trigger): 2,802.49
Target: 4,012.97
Stop Loss: 2,106.45
Risk: ~24.84%
Reward: ~43.19%
📌 Trade Thesis
This trade will be valid if ETH/USDT reclaims and holds above the 2,800 zone, confirming a bullish breakout continuation.
Currently, ETH is trading below the entry trigger, but the broader market structure and momentum suggest a potential move toward retesting the key breakout zone.
🧱 Structural Context
High-Volume Resistance: The 2,600–2,800 area is a historically significant resistance block, previously acting as supply during multiple failed attempts to break higher.
A clean break-and-hold above this region would confirm accumulation completion and mark a trend resumption.
📉 Momentum Signals
MACD: The MACD remains in bullish alignment, with positive histogram bars and a rising signal line. A renewed MACD surge on breakout would confirm trend continuation.
Stochastic RSI: Recently cooled from overbought and now resetting — this provides momentum room for a fresh leg upward if price breaks out.
🎯 Target Zone Rationale
4,000–4,100 is a macro swing high and psychological resistance area. It represents a natural magnet for bullish momentum once 2,800 is cleared and confirmed.
🧠 Strategy Notes
This is a conditional trade setup — do not enter unless price breaks and holds above 2,800 with supporting volume. The trade structure offers a healthy R:R of 1.74, but the wide stop reflects daily volatility and must be sized accordingly.
Keep watch for:
Bitcoin and NASDAQ correlation
Macro catalysts (e.g., inflation data, ETH ETF news)
Breakout confirmation via candle close above 2,800 on solid volume
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.