Ethereum has rejected from a key resistance cluster around the 0.618 Fibonacci level. With price slipping below the point of control, downside continuation toward $1,540 looks increasingly probable — unless bulls step in soon.
Key Highlights:
Confluence Resistance Zone: 0.618 Fib, daily resistance, and descending VWAP capped recent price action.
POC Lost: The local point of control has broken down, showing sellers are dominating the short-term range.
Lower Structure Forming: Ethereum is setting lower highs, with $1,540 as the next key support and potential draw for price.
Full Analysis:
ETH/USD has stalled under a strong resistance zone combining the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, daily structure, and a descending VWAP from the prior lower high. After multiple failed attempts to break higher, price is rolling over — and has now lost the local volume point of control (POC).
This breakdown suggests that value is no longer being accepted at this level, and we may see a rotation lower. Ethereum is also forming a short-term bearish structure — with lower highs and weak attempts at reclaiming lost levels. The next key support sits at $1,540, which also aligns with unfilled inefficiencies and resting liquidity from previous upside moves.
If ETH loses the recent swing low, a move toward $1,540 becomes increasingly likely. However, a reclaim of the POC could indicate this is just a fakeout before buyers attempt another breakout.
What to Watch Next:
Hold above current swing low = potential bounce.
Break below = opens path to $1,540.
Reclaim of POC = short-term bullish invalidation.
Key Highlights:
Confluence Resistance Zone: 0.618 Fib, daily resistance, and descending VWAP capped recent price action.
POC Lost: The local point of control has broken down, showing sellers are dominating the short-term range.
Lower Structure Forming: Ethereum is setting lower highs, with $1,540 as the next key support and potential draw for price.
Full Analysis:
ETH/USD has stalled under a strong resistance zone combining the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, daily structure, and a descending VWAP from the prior lower high. After multiple failed attempts to break higher, price is rolling over — and has now lost the local volume point of control (POC).
This breakdown suggests that value is no longer being accepted at this level, and we may see a rotation lower. Ethereum is also forming a short-term bearish structure — with lower highs and weak attempts at reclaiming lost levels. The next key support sits at $1,540, which also aligns with unfilled inefficiencies and resting liquidity from previous upside moves.
If ETH loses the recent swing low, a move toward $1,540 becomes increasingly likely. However, a reclaim of the POC could indicate this is just a fakeout before buyers attempt another breakout.
What to Watch Next:
Hold above current swing low = potential bounce.
Break below = opens path to $1,540.
Reclaim of POC = short-term bullish invalidation.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.