If you are seeking realistic ETH price targets based upon solid long-term market structure, check out this 4-year symmetrical triangle forming on the ETH/USD monthly chart. ETH is coiling for a major move to $8000, yet none of the CT "influencers" I follow are talking about this. I am new to technical analysis, so I am interested in learning your thoughts about this pattern and which tools or indicators you prefer for setting price discovery targets.
For those of you new to technical analysis, symmetrical triangle patterns can form on long timeframes (weeks, months, or years), indicating indecision between bulls and bears as price compresses within a continually narrowing range. A breakout from a symmetrical triangle typically follows the direction that preceded their formation, and the longer the consolidation period, the stronger the move.
The chart shows a strong euphoric phase in 2021 followed by a bear market low. Subsequent failure to reach previous ATHs is balanced by a pattern of higher lows. Since ETH was in an uptrend prior to triangle formation, odds are this is a continuation pattern, especially given profound shifts in capital flows and sentiment for the asset over the last several weeks.
With trendlines set at the price extremes, the height of the triangle is roughly $3980. If a breakout occurs at a price of $3960, ETH will target a price of $7940 (height of triangle + breakout price). A more conservative price target of $7000 is obtained by resetting the trendlines at the monthly opening and closing prices (omitting the wicks).
Regardless of the specific method for drawing the triangle, ETH is primed for a major move to the upside that has been four years in the making.
For those of you new to technical analysis, symmetrical triangle patterns can form on long timeframes (weeks, months, or years), indicating indecision between bulls and bears as price compresses within a continually narrowing range. A breakout from a symmetrical triangle typically follows the direction that preceded their formation, and the longer the consolidation period, the stronger the move.
The chart shows a strong euphoric phase in 2021 followed by a bear market low. Subsequent failure to reach previous ATHs is balanced by a pattern of higher lows. Since ETH was in an uptrend prior to triangle formation, odds are this is a continuation pattern, especially given profound shifts in capital flows and sentiment for the asset over the last several weeks.
With trendlines set at the price extremes, the height of the triangle is roughly $3980. If a breakout occurs at a price of $3960, ETH will target a price of $7940 (height of triangle + breakout price). A more conservative price target of $7000 is obtained by resetting the trendlines at the monthly opening and closing prices (omitting the wicks).
Regardless of the specific method for drawing the triangle, ETH is primed for a major move to the upside that has been four years in the making.
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CORRECTION: ETH Targets $12,500As I learn more about charting patterns on long timeframes, I plotted the same pattern on the logarithmic 3M chart, setting trendlines at the candle open and closing price. This yields a conservative target of $12,500 upon successful breakout of the pattern (a 243% increase). ETH now retests the $3600 upper trendline. Confirmation will come at the end of September with a close above $3600.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.