EURCHF is breaking out from a symmetrical triangle, indicating potential bullish momentum.
Key resistances to watch:
0.9445 – local swing high
0.9498 – potential measured target from the triangle breakout
Entry on retest of the triangle may offer a favorable risk-reward opportunity.
However, upside could be capped if CHF regains strength.
Structure Bias: Bullish breakout, confirmation needed with a clean retest and sustained move above 0.9440
📊 Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish
🧩 Key Fundamentals Driving EURCHF
EUR Side (Neutral to Slightly Bearish):
ECB remains cautious: June’s Economic Bulletin showed soft patches in core inflation and weak consumer activity.
German & French PMIs are mixed; services weaker than expected.
Political uncertainty (France snap elections) weighs on EUR sentiment in the medium term.
CHF Side (Fundamentally Stronger):
SNB is cautious but hawkish: Monetary policy assessment showed a steady hand, maintaining rates with no clear signal of easing.
Safe-haven flows persist due to:
Middle East risk (Israel–Iran escalation)
Russia–Ukraine tensions
Weak equity sentiment
CHF remains supported on global risk aversion, even with SNB standing pat.
⚠️ Risks That May Reverse or Accelerate Trend
Breakout fails to hold → Bearish fakeout leads to drop toward 0.9290 again
Renewed CHF strength from geopolitical shocks
Eurozone political turbulence (especially France & ECB doves)
🗓️ Important News to Watch
🇨🇭 Swiss CPI, SNB statements
🇪🇺 Eurozone PMI Flash (June 21), CPI (June 28), and political updates
Global market risk sentiment (VIX, bonds, oil, Iran/Israel news)
🏁 Which Asset Might Lead the Broader Move?
EURCHF is lagging behind EURUSD and USDCHF, but provides clean geopolitical risk signals. If markets stabilize, this pair has upside potential. However, if fear returns, CHF may quickly regain control, trapping long trades.
Key resistances to watch:
0.9445 – local swing high
0.9498 – potential measured target from the triangle breakout
Entry on retest of the triangle may offer a favorable risk-reward opportunity.
However, upside could be capped if CHF regains strength.
Structure Bias: Bullish breakout, confirmation needed with a clean retest and sustained move above 0.9440
📊 Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish
🧩 Key Fundamentals Driving EURCHF
EUR Side (Neutral to Slightly Bearish):
ECB remains cautious: June’s Economic Bulletin showed soft patches in core inflation and weak consumer activity.
German & French PMIs are mixed; services weaker than expected.
Political uncertainty (France snap elections) weighs on EUR sentiment in the medium term.
CHF Side (Fundamentally Stronger):
SNB is cautious but hawkish: Monetary policy assessment showed a steady hand, maintaining rates with no clear signal of easing.
Safe-haven flows persist due to:
Middle East risk (Israel–Iran escalation)
Russia–Ukraine tensions
Weak equity sentiment
CHF remains supported on global risk aversion, even with SNB standing pat.
⚠️ Risks That May Reverse or Accelerate Trend
Breakout fails to hold → Bearish fakeout leads to drop toward 0.9290 again
Renewed CHF strength from geopolitical shocks
Eurozone political turbulence (especially France & ECB doves)
🗓️ Important News to Watch
🇨🇭 Swiss CPI, SNB statements
🇪🇺 Eurozone PMI Flash (June 21), CPI (June 28), and political updates
Global market risk sentiment (VIX, bonds, oil, Iran/Israel news)
🏁 Which Asset Might Lead the Broader Move?
EURCHF is lagging behind EURUSD and USDCHF, but provides clean geopolitical risk signals. If markets stabilize, this pair has upside potential. However, if fear returns, CHF may quickly regain control, trapping long trades.
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📊 Forex Signals | Free Daily Alerts
✅ 85% Accuracy | 1–2 Signals/Day
💰 Profitable Trades Sent Daily – No Cost
📲 Join Us on Telegram
t.me/ultreos_forex
🎯 Upgrade to VIP:
ultreosforex.com/
✅ 85% Accuracy | 1–2 Signals/Day
💰 Profitable Trades Sent Daily – No Cost
📲 Join Us on Telegram
t.me/ultreos_forex
🎯 Upgrade to VIP:
ultreosforex.com/
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.