EURGBP: A Potential Short Opportunity Amidst Consolidation

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EUR/GBP daily chart reveals a compelling narrative of consolidation followed by a potential bearish reversal. The pair has been trading within a defined range, bounded by key horizontal support and resistance zones (highlighted in blue). The recent price action suggests a rejection from the upper resistance zone, setting the stage for a possible short trade.

Key Observations:

Range-Bound Consolidation: The chart clearly shows EUR/GBP oscillating within a well-defined range. This pattern indicates a period of indecision, where neither buyers nor sellers have established a clear dominant trend.

Resistance Zone Test and Rejection: The price recently revisited the upper resistance zone. The subsequent price action, characterized by a sharp downward move, suggests a strong rejection from this level. This rejection is a critical signal that sellers are stepping in, potentially reversing the recent upward momentum.

Bearish Engulfing/Pin Bar Formation (Possible): While the chart doesn't explicitly highlight a candlestick pattern, the sharp rejection from the resistance zone suggests the formation of a bearish engulfing or a pin bar on a lower timeframe. This pattern reinforces the bearish bias.

Retracement and Entry Opportunity: The price has retraced a portion of the recent decline. This retracement presents a potential opportunity to enter a short position, capitalizing on the anticipated continuation of the bearish move.

Support Zones as Targets: The lower support zone serves as a primary target for the potential short trade. The intermediate support level (around 0.83727) can act as a partial profit-taking zone or a point to trail the stop loss.

Pattern Identification:

The dominant pattern observed is a range-bound consolidation followed by a potential bearish reversal triggered by a rejection from a key resistance zone. Trade Setup:

Entry: A short entry can be considered at the current price level (around 0.85021-0.85129) or on a break below the immediate support level (0.84772). A more conservative approach would be to wait for a clear bearish candlestick pattern confirmation on a lower timeframe (e.g., H4 or H1).

Stop Loss: The stop loss should be placed above the recent swing high (around 0.85867) to protect the trade from unexpected price reversals.

Take Profit: The primary target is the lower support zone (around 0.82537-0.82218). An intermediate target can be set at the 0.83727 level.

Risk-Reward Ratio: The potential trade offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, with a relatively small stop loss and a significant profit target.

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