### 🔥 Pair + Date
**EURJPY – July 4, 2025**
---
### 📋 Plan Overview Table
| Type | Direction | Confidence | R\:R | Status |
| ---------------- | --------- | ---------- | ----- | ------------- |
| Momentum Retrace | Long | 78% | 2.8:1 | Active Watch |
| Value Limit Play | Long | 83% | 3.5:1 | Pending Setup |
---
### 📈 Market Bias & Type
* **Market Bias:** Bullish continuation on macro + structural trend (despite short-term pullback).
* **Type:** Continuation with retrace entry
---
### 🔰 Confidence Level
* **Overall Confidence:** 78% Momentum Retrace, 83% Deep Value
* **Breakdown:**
* Macro alignment: +7 sentiment
* Structure: Valid higher high / higher low formation
* Confirmation: Pending at retrace zone
---
### 📍 Entry Zones
* **Primary (Momentum Retrace):** 169.55 – 169.70 zone (structural retrace zone to broken high / support flip)
* **Secondary (Value Limit Play):** 169.10 – 169.30 (deep value at prior breakout cluster + H4 origin block)
---
### ❗ SL with Reasoning
* **Momentum Retrace SL:** 169.20 (below key low + liquidity sweep risk zone)
* **Value Limit SL:** 168.80 (below value zone + invalidation of bullish structure)
---
### 🎯 TP1/TP2/TP3 Targets
* **TP1:** 170.60 (recent swing high)
* **TP2:** 171.20 (expansion target)
* **TP3:** 172.00 (macro extension projection)
---
### 🧠 Management Strategy
* Scale out at TP1 (50%)
* Move to breakeven on rest after TP1 hit
* Trail above H1 swing lows post TP2
---
### ⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
✅ Bullish candle on H1 / M30 at entry
✅ Session: London / NY overlap preferred
✅ Volume spike or wick rejection on retrace
---
### ⏳ Validity
* **Momentum Retrace:** H1 plan valid 12-16 hours
* **Deep Value:** H4 plan valid 48 hours+
---
### ❌ Invalidation Conditions
* Clean break + close below 168.80 on H4
* Risk sentiment flips risk-off sharply (JPY safe haven flows surge)
---
### 🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
* Macro bias: Bullish EURJPY continuation (ECB hawkish tilt + BOJ still ultra-loose policy)
* Recent data: Post-NFP risk sentiment neutral-positive, no fresh JPY strength triggers
* Sentiment: +7 (supports trend continuation)
---
### 📋 Final Trade Summary
👉 EURJPY bullish continuation play. Primary focus on momentum retrace entry \~169.55–169.70 with deep value as secondary optional zone. SLs tailored per entry zone, R\:R targets healthy.
---
⚠ **Reminder:** This is *not* investment advice. Forex trading carries substantial risk. Use with licensed institutions only.
**EURJPY – July 4, 2025**
---
### 📋 Plan Overview Table
| Type | Direction | Confidence | R\:R | Status |
| ---------------- | --------- | ---------- | ----- | ------------- |
| Momentum Retrace | Long | 78% | 2.8:1 | Active Watch |
| Value Limit Play | Long | 83% | 3.5:1 | Pending Setup |
---
### 📈 Market Bias & Type
* **Market Bias:** Bullish continuation on macro + structural trend (despite short-term pullback).
* **Type:** Continuation with retrace entry
---
### 🔰 Confidence Level
* **Overall Confidence:** 78% Momentum Retrace, 83% Deep Value
* **Breakdown:**
* Macro alignment: +7 sentiment
* Structure: Valid higher high / higher low formation
* Confirmation: Pending at retrace zone
---
### 📍 Entry Zones
* **Primary (Momentum Retrace):** 169.55 – 169.70 zone (structural retrace zone to broken high / support flip)
* **Secondary (Value Limit Play):** 169.10 – 169.30 (deep value at prior breakout cluster + H4 origin block)
---
### ❗ SL with Reasoning
* **Momentum Retrace SL:** 169.20 (below key low + liquidity sweep risk zone)
* **Value Limit SL:** 168.80 (below value zone + invalidation of bullish structure)
---
### 🎯 TP1/TP2/TP3 Targets
* **TP1:** 170.60 (recent swing high)
* **TP2:** 171.20 (expansion target)
* **TP3:** 172.00 (macro extension projection)
---
### 🧠 Management Strategy
* Scale out at TP1 (50%)
* Move to breakeven on rest after TP1 hit
* Trail above H1 swing lows post TP2
---
### ⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
✅ Bullish candle on H1 / M30 at entry
✅ Session: London / NY overlap preferred
✅ Volume spike or wick rejection on retrace
---
### ⏳ Validity
* **Momentum Retrace:** H1 plan valid 12-16 hours
* **Deep Value:** H4 plan valid 48 hours+
---
### ❌ Invalidation Conditions
* Clean break + close below 168.80 on H4
* Risk sentiment flips risk-off sharply (JPY safe haven flows surge)
---
### 🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
* Macro bias: Bullish EURJPY continuation (ECB hawkish tilt + BOJ still ultra-loose policy)
* Recent data: Post-NFP risk sentiment neutral-positive, no fresh JPY strength triggers
* Sentiment: +7 (supports trend continuation)
---
### 📋 Final Trade Summary
👉 EURJPY bullish continuation play. Primary focus on momentum retrace entry \~169.55–169.70 with deep value as secondary optional zone. SLs tailored per entry zone, R\:R targets healthy.
---
⚠ **Reminder:** This is *not* investment advice. Forex trading carries substantial risk. Use with licensed institutions only.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.