Hi, I'm Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about this long investment opportunity on EUR/MXN.
After a careful analysis of institutional flows, market sentiment and macroeconomic dynamics between Europe and Mexico, I have identified a potential medium-term long opportunity on this currency pair, often overlooked by retail traders but closely followed by professional operators for its hybrid technical-fundamental structure. I would like to thank in advance the Official Partner Broker PEPPERSTONE who supported us in creating this technical analysis.
🔍 Technical and strategic context
In recent days, EUR/MXN has shown typical institutional accumulation behavior: prolonged congestion on key levels, progressive decrease in volatility, increase in volume anomalies on bearish spikes and presence of clear defenses on strategic support areas.
All this while retail positioning remains strongly unbalanced short, with over 75% of retail operators selling this pair in the current area. Historically, when such extreme levels of imbalance are reached, the likelihood of an institutional-driven reversal increases significantly.
🧠 Expected Behavior and Institutional Dynamics
Large financial institutions – including global banks and hedge funds – never enter “on cue”: they enter when the market is ready for them to win. This often happens after retail has positioned itself heavily against the upcoming move, and that is exactly what we are seeing these hours.
EUR/MXN is a high-yielding pair: the Mexican peso often benefits from favorable carry trades, but is also highly exposed to geopolitical tensions (such as the current US-Iran turmoil) and the overall direction of the US dollar and the euro. In this environment, with a stable euro and rising systemic risk, the natural flow tends to move away from the Mexican peso, making long EUR/MXN particularly attractive.
🎯 Operational positioning and objectives
My entry occurred on a well-defined compression zone, with a protected technical stop loss and a target calculated on structure, volumes and previous similar breakouts. The target is an area around 22.73, where institutional profit taking is likely to arrive.
It should be noted that the entire current structure is built on protection zones generated by passive orders: we know that in EUR/MXN these levels have historically caused strong rebounds when reached.
📊 Conclusion
This trade is not simply a directional bet. It is the thoughtful execution of a model based on the behavior of large operators, market psychology and advanced analysis of capital flows. It is not about "predicting the future", but positioning yourself at the same time as the strong hands do, exploiting their own rules.
My goal is to operate like a hedge fund does, and in this trade on EUR/MXN I see all the conditions for this to happen.
After a careful analysis of institutional flows, market sentiment and macroeconomic dynamics between Europe and Mexico, I have identified a potential medium-term long opportunity on this currency pair, often overlooked by retail traders but closely followed by professional operators for its hybrid technical-fundamental structure. I would like to thank in advance the Official Partner Broker PEPPERSTONE who supported us in creating this technical analysis.
🔍 Technical and strategic context
In recent days, EUR/MXN has shown typical institutional accumulation behavior: prolonged congestion on key levels, progressive decrease in volatility, increase in volume anomalies on bearish spikes and presence of clear defenses on strategic support areas.
All this while retail positioning remains strongly unbalanced short, with over 75% of retail operators selling this pair in the current area. Historically, when such extreme levels of imbalance are reached, the likelihood of an institutional-driven reversal increases significantly.
🧠 Expected Behavior and Institutional Dynamics
Large financial institutions – including global banks and hedge funds – never enter “on cue”: they enter when the market is ready for them to win. This often happens after retail has positioned itself heavily against the upcoming move, and that is exactly what we are seeing these hours.
EUR/MXN is a high-yielding pair: the Mexican peso often benefits from favorable carry trades, but is also highly exposed to geopolitical tensions (such as the current US-Iran turmoil) and the overall direction of the US dollar and the euro. In this environment, with a stable euro and rising systemic risk, the natural flow tends to move away from the Mexican peso, making long EUR/MXN particularly attractive.
🎯 Operational positioning and objectives
My entry occurred on a well-defined compression zone, with a protected technical stop loss and a target calculated on structure, volumes and previous similar breakouts. The target is an area around 22.73, where institutional profit taking is likely to arrive.
It should be noted that the entire current structure is built on protection zones generated by passive orders: we know that in EUR/MXN these levels have historically caused strong rebounds when reached.
📊 Conclusion
This trade is not simply a directional bet. It is the thoughtful execution of a model based on the behavior of large operators, market psychology and advanced analysis of capital flows. It is not about "predicting the future", but positioning yourself at the same time as the strong hands do, exploiting their own rules.
My goal is to operate like a hedge fund does, and in this trade on EUR/MXN I see all the conditions for this to happen.
Trade active
🔵 Official Partner of PEPPERSTONE
Full Broker benefits & Socials
👉 andrearussoforextrader.com
If you want to receive:
✅ precise TAKE PROFIT
✅ precise STOP LOSS
✅ updates on My Trades
👉 Telegram Channel: t.me/swipeuptrading
Full Broker benefits & Socials
👉 andrearussoforextrader.com
If you want to receive:
✅ precise TAKE PROFIT
✅ precise STOP LOSS
✅ updates on My Trades
👉 Telegram Channel: t.me/swipeuptrading
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
🔵 Official Partner of PEPPERSTONE
Full Broker benefits & Socials
👉 andrearussoforextrader.com
If you want to receive:
✅ precise TAKE PROFIT
✅ precise STOP LOSS
✅ updates on My Trades
👉 Telegram Channel: t.me/swipeuptrading
Full Broker benefits & Socials
👉 andrearussoforextrader.com
If you want to receive:
✅ precise TAKE PROFIT
✅ precise STOP LOSS
✅ updates on My Trades
👉 Telegram Channel: t.me/swipeuptrading
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.