Euro-dollar reached six-week lows on 1 August as traders continued to digest the trade deal between the EU and the USA which is widely viewed as being negative for the former. 30 July GDP releases from the eurozone and the USA also showed that American growth is much stronger, but eurozone-wide flash GDP for the second quarter was still slightly better than anticipated. The focus now turns to reactions to new tariffs and the NFP.
$1.14 looks like an important technical reference which might resist testing depending on the results of the job report. With fairly low volume relative to April’s peak and a clear oversold signal from the slow stochastic, a pause around here seems more likely than immediate continuation lower if considering only TA. 31 July’s near-doji slightly below the 100 SMA might suggest some demand for buying.
The obvious short-term resistance would be the confluence of the 50% monthly Fibonacci retracement and the 100 SMA around $1.147. The 61.8% Fibo slightly below $1.13 might be an area of support. Short-term performance depends primarily on the result of the NFP and the reaction to these; the consensus of 110,000 for total nonfarm seems too low relative to the average over the last several months, so a surprise higher might be more likely than lower.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
$1.14 looks like an important technical reference which might resist testing depending on the results of the job report. With fairly low volume relative to April’s peak and a clear oversold signal from the slow stochastic, a pause around here seems more likely than immediate continuation lower if considering only TA. 31 July’s near-doji slightly below the 100 SMA might suggest some demand for buying.
The obvious short-term resistance would be the confluence of the 50% monthly Fibonacci retracement and the 100 SMA around $1.147. The 61.8% Fibo slightly below $1.13 might be an area of support. Short-term performance depends primarily on the result of the NFP and the reaction to these; the consensus of 110,000 for total nonfarm seems too low relative to the average over the last several months, so a surprise higher might be more likely than lower.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.