EUR/USD – Bullish Wave 3 in Play | AO Convergence + Fib Target P

90
Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Date: May 15, 2025

🧠 Technical Breakdown:
This analysis focuses on a clean impulsive Elliott Wave structure, Fibonacci projections, and Awesome Oscillator (AO) confirmation to support a bullish continuation.

🔍 Wave Count:
Wave 1: Clear impulsive push upwards, breaking previous market structure.

Wave 2: Completed corrective pullback into the key support zone, respecting the golden ratio levels.

Wave 3: Initiated after a dominant break above the minor structure and trendline resistance, confirming bullish momentum.

⚙️ AO (Awesome Oscillator) Confirmation:
Strong AO divergence between the Wave 1 and Wave 2 low confirms the bullish structure.

Within the early stage of Wave 3, the AO shows a convergence pattern forming between subwaves 1, 2, and 3 — indicating strengthening bullish momentum.

AO flipped green again after a minor pullback, signaling bullish continuation potential.

🎯 Fibonacci Extensions:
TP1 Zone: 1.618 – 1.88 Fibonacci extension range → 1.1216 – 1.1226
(High probability for Wave 3 termination)

TP2 Zone: 2.618 – 2.88 Fibonacci extension range → 1.1241 – 1.1258
(Extended target if bullish momentum accelerates)

Further projections (Wave 5 estimate):
4.236 – 4.618 → 1.1276 – 1.1288

🧱 Key Structural Zone:
1.11813 is the most critical support-turned-resistance (SNR) level — price broke above this level, retested, and bounced.

The green highlighted box marks the ideal buy zone, aligned with:

Dominant break confirmation

Fibonacci confluence

Bullish AO setup

✅ Trade Plan:
Entry: On retest or bounce from the green zone

Stop Loss: Below 1.11800 or below Wave 2 low (to protect structure)

Take Profit 1: 1.1216 – 1.1226

Take Profit 2: 1.1241 – 1.1258

Optional TP3 (extended): 1.1276 – 1.1288 (Wave 5 projection)

🧭 Summary:
This setup combines Elliott Wave theory, Fibonacci projections, and AO convergence to provide a highly probable bullish continuation scenario. Ideal for breakout traders and structure-based wave analysts.

📌 “Confluence is key. Let structure, momentum, and fibs guide the trade.”
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