Euro / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

DeGRAM | EURUSD Declining From the Supply Zone

422
📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD stays below the broken resistance line.
● While under $1.144, the chart favors a slide to 1.131 → 1.12.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● U.S. yields remain elevated, supporting the dollar.

Summary
Stalling Euro-area growth and firm U.S. yields reinforce the technical breakdown. A daily close below 1.131 should accelerate the decline towards 1.12.

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snapshot
📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD retraced from the Apr 21 high (1.1575)​ and failed to hold above ~1.144. Chart signals now aim for ~1.1310.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Fed–ECB gap: Fed expected to hold (only ~10% chance of a cut)​, while ECB just cut 25bp to 2.25% and signaled more easing​.
● US economy remains resilient (jobless claims ~222k​) even as euro-area growth sputters (German Q1 GDP +0.2%​).

Summary
Bearish EUR/USD bias: targeting 1.1310 support; resistance ~1.144.
Policy gap: Fed steady vs ECB easing widens USD yield advantage.
Strong USD (solid U.S. data) vs weak EUR (sluggish Europe) supports downtrend.

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