🔻SHORT TRADE PLAN (LIVE REVERSAL SETUP)
🔹 Entry: 1.1665
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.1800 (Brick 18 reclaim = hard invalidation)
🔹 Risk: 135 pips
🔹 Style: Macro Renko reversal — Brick 17 collapse, now short inside Brick 16
🔹 Bias: Downtrend targeting full structure rotation and fib reversion
⸻
🧠 WHY THIS SHORT?
• ❌ Bullish structure invalidated: H4 candle closed beneath 1.1700, violating Brick 17
• 🧱 Renko breakdown confirmed: Price now actively trading inside Brick 16 (1.1600–1.1700)
• 🧬 Momentum flipped: Largest bearish candle in weeks signals shift in institutional control
• 📉 No support until 1.1500–1.1400 → multiple clean Renko bricks below = high velocity window
• 🧲 Macro magnet pull: 1.1000 is full cycle reversion zone — untouched since last major fib reset
• 🔐 Longs are trapped under Fib 100 → sentiment rotated hard → fade is now the high-probability play
⸻
🎯 SHORT TARGET LADDER (100 PIP BRICKS)
TP1 — 1.1500 📉
〰️ Brick 14 confirm — early exit zone
+165 pips | R:R 1.22:1
TP2 — 1.1400 🔻
〰️ Brick 13 confirmation — structural break builds
+265 pips | R:R 1.96:1
TP3 — 1.1300 📉
〰️ D1 structural pivot — macro memory zone
+365 pips | R:R 2.70:1
TP4 — 1.1200 📉
〰️ Fib 0.0 / round number test
+465 pips | R:R 3.44:1
TP5 — 1.1100 📉
〰️ Trend extension base
+565 pips | R:R 4.18:1
TP6 — 1.1000 🧲
〰️ Full macro cycle alignment
+665 pips | R:R 4.92:1
TP7 — 1.0900 🪤
〰️ Trap zone for blowout shorts
+765 pips | R:R 5.66:1
TP8 — 1.0800 🧠
〰️ Max extension pressure
+865 pips | R:R 6.40:1
TP9 — 1.0700 🏁
〰️ Renko structure finality zone
+965 pips | R:R 7.14:1
TP10 — 1.0600 🌀
〰️ Overshoot runner — hold only 10–15%
+1065 pips | R:R 7.89:1
⸻
⚙️ EXECUTION RULES
• SL → locked at 1.1800 (only full Brick 18 reclaim = exit)
• Move SL to BE after TP2 hits
• Begin 1-brick trailing after TP3
• Book 70–80% of size by TP6
• Only hold runners beyond TP7–TP10 if Renko bricks remain unbroken
📛 Long bias is off — no reentry until Brick 17 is reclaimed on Renko
🟠 Optional new short entries on bounce into 1.1685–1.1700
🔹 Entry: 1.1665
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.1800 (Brick 18 reclaim = hard invalidation)
🔹 Risk: 135 pips
🔹 Style: Macro Renko reversal — Brick 17 collapse, now short inside Brick 16
🔹 Bias: Downtrend targeting full structure rotation and fib reversion
⸻
🧠 WHY THIS SHORT?
• ❌ Bullish structure invalidated: H4 candle closed beneath 1.1700, violating Brick 17
• 🧱 Renko breakdown confirmed: Price now actively trading inside Brick 16 (1.1600–1.1700)
• 🧬 Momentum flipped: Largest bearish candle in weeks signals shift in institutional control
• 📉 No support until 1.1500–1.1400 → multiple clean Renko bricks below = high velocity window
• 🧲 Macro magnet pull: 1.1000 is full cycle reversion zone — untouched since last major fib reset
• 🔐 Longs are trapped under Fib 100 → sentiment rotated hard → fade is now the high-probability play
⸻
🎯 SHORT TARGET LADDER (100 PIP BRICKS)
TP1 — 1.1500 📉
〰️ Brick 14 confirm — early exit zone
+165 pips | R:R 1.22:1
TP2 — 1.1400 🔻
〰️ Brick 13 confirmation — structural break builds
+265 pips | R:R 1.96:1
TP3 — 1.1300 📉
〰️ D1 structural pivot — macro memory zone
+365 pips | R:R 2.70:1
TP4 — 1.1200 📉
〰️ Fib 0.0 / round number test
+465 pips | R:R 3.44:1
TP5 — 1.1100 📉
〰️ Trend extension base
+565 pips | R:R 4.18:1
TP6 — 1.1000 🧲
〰️ Full macro cycle alignment
+665 pips | R:R 4.92:1
TP7 — 1.0900 🪤
〰️ Trap zone for blowout shorts
+765 pips | R:R 5.66:1
TP8 — 1.0800 🧠
〰️ Max extension pressure
+865 pips | R:R 6.40:1
TP9 — 1.0700 🏁
〰️ Renko structure finality zone
+965 pips | R:R 7.14:1
TP10 — 1.0600 🌀
〰️ Overshoot runner — hold only 10–15%
+1065 pips | R:R 7.89:1
⸻
⚙️ EXECUTION RULES
• SL → locked at 1.1800 (only full Brick 18 reclaim = exit)
• Move SL to BE after TP2 hits
• Begin 1-brick trailing after TP3
• Book 70–80% of size by TP6
• Only hold runners beyond TP7–TP10 if Renko bricks remain unbroken
📛 Long bias is off — no reentry until Brick 17 is reclaimed on Renko
🟠 Optional new short entries on bounce into 1.1685–1.1700
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.