Fading Fear, Not Chasing Highs 💡💶
This isn’t about momentum. It’s about patience. EURUSD has been under pressure, but I’m not selling panic — I’m watching for a buy signal to fade the current selloff. With dollar fundamentals shifting, this pullback could be setting up opportunity — not continuation.
📈 Trade Bias: I’m looking to buy EURUSD, but only on confirmation the sell pressure is cooling.
Here’s the fundamental picture:
✅ US growth is slowing; Q1 GDP contracted slightly
📉 Dollar bears are at a 4-year high, signaling sentiment exhaustion
🔁 ECB paused cuts, holding steady at 2.15% — EUR fundamentals are stabilizing
💬 US tariffs could push inflation up, but squeeze household demand
⚠️ I’m not expecting new highs — just a relief move once the selling slows
The dollar is caught in a tug-of-war: economic data remains decent, but traders don’t buy it. Sentiment is skewed — hedge funds are heavily short USD, not because the economy is collapsing, but due to fiscal worries, policy confusion, and long-term structural cracks. This creates space for countertrend moves.
The euro isn’t roaring either — but it's no longer cutting rates, and confidence is picking up. A recent uptrend has cooled, and the pair is now consolidating. If we see signs of selling exhaustion, I’ll be watching for an entry.
I’m not buying blindly. I’m waiting for the fear to burn out. Would you fade this dip too — or are you staying out? 👇
This isn’t about momentum. It’s about patience. EURUSD has been under pressure, but I’m not selling panic — I’m watching for a buy signal to fade the current selloff. With dollar fundamentals shifting, this pullback could be setting up opportunity — not continuation.
📈 Trade Bias: I’m looking to buy EURUSD, but only on confirmation the sell pressure is cooling.
Here’s the fundamental picture:
✅ US growth is slowing; Q1 GDP contracted slightly
📉 Dollar bears are at a 4-year high, signaling sentiment exhaustion
🔁 ECB paused cuts, holding steady at 2.15% — EUR fundamentals are stabilizing
💬 US tariffs could push inflation up, but squeeze household demand
⚠️ I’m not expecting new highs — just a relief move once the selling slows
The dollar is caught in a tug-of-war: economic data remains decent, but traders don’t buy it. Sentiment is skewed — hedge funds are heavily short USD, not because the economy is collapsing, but due to fiscal worries, policy confusion, and long-term structural cracks. This creates space for countertrend moves.
The euro isn’t roaring either — but it's no longer cutting rates, and confidence is picking up. A recent uptrend has cooled, and the pair is now consolidating. If we see signs of selling exhaustion, I’ll be watching for an entry.
I’m not buying blindly. I’m waiting for the fear to burn out. Would you fade this dip too — or are you staying out? 👇
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.