EUR/USD Outlook – Potential Short Setups

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Hi everyone,

In today’s post, let’s break down the current market structure and potential opportunities in the EUR/USD pair.

🔍 Market Context

After nearly a month of consolidation, EUR/USD appears to have stalled around the previous weekly swing highs. Despite several attempts to hold above this level, the price eventually broke down, signalling a shift in structure on the 4-hour (4H) timeframe.

This short-term breakdown could be an early sign of a larger structural shift on the daily chart, and it’s something I’m keeping a close eye on.

🧭 Key Levels & Price Behaviour

At the moment, price action is bouncing from a demand zone, which might provide a short-lived relief rally. However, this bounce may only be temporary.

In my humble opinion, bullish momentum is fading, and we could be entering a trap zone for late buyers. I’m watching the 1.132–1.138 region, just above the short-term downtrend line, as a potential resistance zone and an ideal area to consider shorts.

🎯 Trade Ideas

I’ve marked two trade setups on the chart, catering to different risk profiles:
1. Aggressive Trade – For traders willing to enter closer to resistance with tighter stop losses.
2. Conservative Trade – For those who prefer more confirmation before entry.

You can treat these setups independently or combine them into a single strategy depending on your trading style and risk tolerance.

⚠️ Disclaimer

This post is purely for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor, and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.

Disclaimer

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