Euro / U.S. Dollar
Short

EURUSD targeting 1.0500 after the 1W MA100 rejection.

348
Late August (Aug 26, see chart below) saw us emphasizing the critical role of the Lower Highs trend-line, being the top of a multi-year Falling Wedge pattern that started at the peak of the 2008 Housing Crisis, and its important on the long-term trend, with a break-out being bullish while a rejection being bearish:

EURUSD approaches mother of all Resistances from the 2008 crisis


The price was eventually rejected exactly at the top and at the same time the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), which did the July 2023 rejection. That rejection initiated a correction back to the Symmetrical Support Zone of 2015.

As a result, we expect EURUSD to gradually descend towards that Zone and by mid 2025, hit 1.0500.

Notice also that the 1W RSI also got very close to its 15-year Resistance Zone. This has triggered in the past more brutal sell-offs.

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