Since reaching its recent low on August 1st, EUR/USD has been moving within a clear and consistent rising channel on the 4-hour chart. This upward structure has been well respected, with price action repeatedly reacting to both the upper resistance and lower support boundaries. The overall trajectory suggests that buyers have been steadily in control, but current market positioning shows the pair approaching a significant area that could determine the next directional move.
Rising channel
On the 4-hour timeframe, EUR/USD continues to trade inside this well-defined rising channel, with the slope indicating a healthy bullish trend. The price has been making higher highs and higher lows, consistently respecting the boundaries of the channel. At present, EUR/USD is hovering near the midline of this structure, which often acts as a pivot area where momentum can either accelerate toward the channel top or retrace toward its base.
4H FVG resistance
Currently, EUR/USD is facing a strong 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) resistance zone, positioned around the 1.1720–1.1750 region. This supply area is from a sharp sell-off from late July and may act as a significant hurdle for buyers. If this resistance holds, price could be pushed back down toward the lower boundary of the rising channel, possibly testing the 1.1620–1.1650 area. However, if EUR/USD manages to decisively break above this 4H FVG, it would open the door for a continuation toward the upper channel trendline, which currently lies near the 1.1850 level.
Bullish support on the rising channel
Should the 4H bearish FVG remain unbroken, the lower boundary of the rising channel becomes an important support to watch. A pullback toward this zone could provide buyers with a favorable opportunity to re-enter the market. A strong bounce from this support would reinforce the bullish structure and potentially set the stage for another attempt to breach the resistance area, with the aim of resuming the climb toward the channel’s upper limits.
Final thoughts
EUR/USD is in a critical position within its well-structured rising channel. The outcome at the current 4H FVG resistance will likely dictate the next swing. A break above could fuel a run toward the upper channel boundary near 1.1850, while rejection here may see a retracement to the lower channel support before another push higher.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Rising channel
On the 4-hour timeframe, EUR/USD continues to trade inside this well-defined rising channel, with the slope indicating a healthy bullish trend. The price has been making higher highs and higher lows, consistently respecting the boundaries of the channel. At present, EUR/USD is hovering near the midline of this structure, which often acts as a pivot area where momentum can either accelerate toward the channel top or retrace toward its base.
4H FVG resistance
Currently, EUR/USD is facing a strong 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) resistance zone, positioned around the 1.1720–1.1750 region. This supply area is from a sharp sell-off from late July and may act as a significant hurdle for buyers. If this resistance holds, price could be pushed back down toward the lower boundary of the rising channel, possibly testing the 1.1620–1.1650 area. However, if EUR/USD manages to decisively break above this 4H FVG, it would open the door for a continuation toward the upper channel trendline, which currently lies near the 1.1850 level.
Bullish support on the rising channel
Should the 4H bearish FVG remain unbroken, the lower boundary of the rising channel becomes an important support to watch. A pullback toward this zone could provide buyers with a favorable opportunity to re-enter the market. A strong bounce from this support would reinforce the bullish structure and potentially set the stage for another attempt to breach the resistance area, with the aim of resuming the climb toward the channel’s upper limits.
Final thoughts
EUR/USD is in a critical position within its well-structured rising channel. The outcome at the current 4H FVG resistance will likely dictate the next swing. A break above could fuel a run toward the upper channel boundary near 1.1850, while rejection here may see a retracement to the lower channel support before another push higher.
-------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.