Euro / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

EURUSD Under Pressure After Hot CPI – More Downside Ahead?

924
Today, the US released key inflation figures:

Core CPI m/m: 0.2% (vs 0.3% forecast)

CPI m/m: 0.3% (as expected)

CPI y/y: 2.7% (vs 2.6% forecast, up from 2.4%)

Fundamental Analysis (EURUSD):

The slightly lower Core CPI suggests some easing in underlying inflation pressures. However, the headline CPI y/y came in hotter than expected at 2.7%, reinforcing the idea that the Fed is not yet ready to ease policy aggressively.

This combination supports the US dollar, as sticky inflation could delay rate cuts.

EURUSD is likely to remain under pressure in the short term unless the ECB signals a more hawkish stance or US data starts showing broader weakness.

Now let's move on to the technical analysis of EURUSD(EURUSD) on the 4-hour timeframe.

EURUSD is trading in a Heavy Resistance zone($1.1802-$1.1602), having simultaneously managed to break the Support lines and the lower line of the Descending Channel, and is also trying to break the Support zone($1.1642-$1.1578).

I expect EURUSD to continue its downtrend and decline to the Support zone($1.1549-$1.1520) at the first target.

Second target: $1.15043

Third target: $1.1464


Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $1.1660

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.

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Trade was activated after small pullback to lines.
Trade closed: stop reached
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Stop Loss was touched

The impact of Trump's words touched SL. The reaction was very quick.

Whispers in the White House: Trump Eyes Powell’s Firing

Sources say Donald Trump, in a private meeting with Republican lawmakers, asked whether it’s time to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Some attendees reportedly supported the idea, and Trump hinted at moving forward with the decision.

This comes as the White House’s crypto-friendly bill, backed by Trump, has stalled in Congress due to Republican opposition.

Legally, the Fed chair can only be removed for “cause.” But Trump is reportedly exploring legal options to justify the move—a step that could shake financial markets and trigger immediate legal battles.
Note
Powell's firing denied.

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