EUR/USD – Potential Reversal Ahead?

146
| Daily Timeframe | Outlook (Published July 29, 2025)

⚠️ Setup Summary:

This chart is highlighting a critical juncture for EUR/USD, where price is nearing a major decision zone. Based on price action and wave structure, there are two likely scenarios unfolding. Let’s break it down simple .


EUR/USD has seen a strong bullish rally from March to July, but current price action suggests momentum exhaustion. Now, we’re watching for signs of a reversal or deeper correction in the coming weeks.



📊 Two Probable Scenarios:

Case 1 – Simple Corrective Wave (ABC Pattern)

Expected Move:

Price may spike up into the 1.186–1.199 zone (final bull trap/liquidity grab)

Followed by a sharp bearish move (impulse C wave) towards 1.10505 zone

This reflects a clean correction before possible reaccumulation


📌 This is often seen after retail traders get caught chasing highs late in a move.


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Case 2 – Complex Corrective Wave (ABCDE Flat/Running Triangle)

Expected Move:

A longer, more sideways and choppy correction into Q1 2026

Price forms a distribution pattern under resistance

After a breakout below the structure, a sharp drop to 1.10505 zone (or deeper)


📌 This is a slower bleed-out pattern before continuation lower. Often traps both buyers and sellers in the chop.


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🎯 Current Price: 1.15756

We are in a decision zone, and watching the reaction around 1.165–1.186 will be crucial to validate either Case 1 or Case 2.


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💡 My View:

> Wait for confirmation at the 1.186 zone.
If price rejects strongly from there, Case 1 is in play. 👈❤️
If price chops sideways and holds higher for weeks, expect Case 2 structure.




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🚨 Reminder for Traders:

Don’t chase moves — let the market show its hand

Use proper risk management

Combine this structure with session timing, liquidity sweeps, and fundamental events



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