EURUSD has followed our expectations beautifully, bouncing strongly off a key support zone near 1.1270. This zone was previously a tough resistance which the pair broke through, and it’s now acting as a strong demand area. The latest bullish engulfing candle from this region signals solid buying pressure, confirming that bulls are stepping in to protect this structure. I’m now targeting a move toward the 1.17 level, which aligns with the previous high and the next major resistance on the chart.
From a macro perspective, the euro is showing resilience amid recent ECB policy comments, where officials have adopted a cautious but steady tone. Inflation remains persistent enough to delay aggressive rate cuts, keeping EUR demand intact. Meanwhile, the dollar is seeing renewed selling interest as market expectations shift toward a Fed pause, especially after softer US economic indicators including retail sales and jobless claims. This divergence is likely to support further upside in EURUSD.
Technically, this is a classic textbook retest of broken resistance turned support, backed by momentum indicators such as RSI now bouncing from mid-range and MACD showing signs of a potential bullish crossover. Volume has spiked at the support zone, confirming institutional participation. As long as EURUSD holds above 1.1270, I remain bullish and see this move extending toward 1.17 over the coming sessions.
This setup presents a strong risk-to-reward opportunity with momentum aligning with structure. The breakout and retest scenario is fully intact, and fundamentals are now favoring a continuation to the upside. Traders and swing holders should keep this on their radar as EURUSD looks ready to climb further.
From a macro perspective, the euro is showing resilience amid recent ECB policy comments, where officials have adopted a cautious but steady tone. Inflation remains persistent enough to delay aggressive rate cuts, keeping EUR demand intact. Meanwhile, the dollar is seeing renewed selling interest as market expectations shift toward a Fed pause, especially after softer US economic indicators including retail sales and jobless claims. This divergence is likely to support further upside in EURUSD.
Technically, this is a classic textbook retest of broken resistance turned support, backed by momentum indicators such as RSI now bouncing from mid-range and MACD showing signs of a potential bullish crossover. Volume has spiked at the support zone, confirming institutional participation. As long as EURUSD holds above 1.1270, I remain bullish and see this move extending toward 1.17 over the coming sessions.
This setup presents a strong risk-to-reward opportunity with momentum aligning with structure. The breakout and retest scenario is fully intact, and fundamentals are now favoring a continuation to the upside. Traders and swing holders should keep this on their radar as EURUSD looks ready to climb further.
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Join our Forex Community Telegram group and connect with thousands of traders.
Hit the Link below
👇👇👇
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Hit the Link below
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.