Euro / U.S. Dollar
Updated

EURUSD Breakdown Bearish Trend Continues or Demand Zone Reversal

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🔍 Chart Breakdown: EUR/USD (30-min TF)
Trend Overview:
Previous Trend: Bullish channel structure (highlighted in blue).

Current Momentum: Strong bearish breakdown following a clear range phase.

The chart shifted from consolidation → breakdown → aggressive bearish continuation.

🧱 Key Technical Highlights:
1. Bearish Breakout:
Price broke below the ascending trendline and exited the ranging box, confirming a bearish shift.

Multiple Breakdown Retests (highlighted with red arrows) confirming structure failures and validating resistance zones.

2. Range Zone (Distribution Phase):
Price moved sideways within the green rectangle (“RANGE”), indicating accumulation/distribution before the selloff.

The breakdown from this range confirmed bearish momentum.

3. Demand Zone Test (Now in Play):
Price is approaching/hovering around a demand zone (green box) marked as a critical support.

Buyers may react here, offering two key scenarios:

Bounce back to retest resistance around 1.1600 (highlighted).

Breakdown below demand, leading to further decline toward next major support zones (1.15354 and 1.15040).

4. Price Reaction Zones:
🔴 Resistance zones are clearly marked where breakdown retests occurred.

🟢 Demand zone with bounce-or-break logic provides directional bias.

🧭 Potential Scenarios (Marked on Chart):
✅ Bullish Case:
If demand zone holds, expect:

A corrective rally toward 1.1600–1.1620.

Watch for rejection signals here (could be ideal for re-entering shorts).

❌ Bearish Case:
If breakdown below green demand zone occurs, targets:

1.1535 (local structure support)

1.1504 (next confluence level; possible long-term bounce area)

📈 Indicators:
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is well below the cloud, confirming bearish control.

Structure: Lower highs & lower lows = confirmed bearish trend.

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