EURUSD has been trading inside a clear consolidation zone after an extended move higher, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel structure. Price action remains trapped within this range, with liquidity already taken from the upside during the recent sweep.
Consolidation Dynamics
The pair is currently caught in a sideways structure, compressing between resistance above and support below. We already had a perfect retest inside the fair value gap, and the reaction suggests that momentum is leaning toward the downside. Until price decisively breaks the channel, traders should treat this as a range-bound environment with strong respect for key levels.
Bearish Scenarios
Given that the liquidity grab on the upside of the range has already occurred, the likelihood of a downward move has increased. From here, price could drop directly from the current level to retest the channel line and the demand zone below. This would confirm the idea that buyers are struggling to push beyond the consolidation ceiling.
Alternative Bullish Path
It is still possible that price makes one more push higher into the red supply zone before reversing. If this happens, the move would likely serve as a final inducement before sellers step in, driving price back down into the bottom side of the channel where support and liquidity rest.
Price Targets and Expectations
In both scenarios, the lower boundary of the channel remains the key target area to watch. A clean retest of this level would align with previous reactions and could offer another potential base for continuation higher in the broader trend. Until then, the immediate expectation favors a move toward the downside.
Conclusion
EURUSD is consolidating with signs of weakness after the sweep of the highs, making a retracement toward the lower channel line the most probable outcome. Whether price drops directly from here or first taps into the red supply zone, the downside appears to be the more likely path in the short term.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Consolidation Dynamics
The pair is currently caught in a sideways structure, compressing between resistance above and support below. We already had a perfect retest inside the fair value gap, and the reaction suggests that momentum is leaning toward the downside. Until price decisively breaks the channel, traders should treat this as a range-bound environment with strong respect for key levels.
Bearish Scenarios
Given that the liquidity grab on the upside of the range has already occurred, the likelihood of a downward move has increased. From here, price could drop directly from the current level to retest the channel line and the demand zone below. This would confirm the idea that buyers are struggling to push beyond the consolidation ceiling.
Alternative Bullish Path
It is still possible that price makes one more push higher into the red supply zone before reversing. If this happens, the move would likely serve as a final inducement before sellers step in, driving price back down into the bottom side of the channel where support and liquidity rest.
Price Targets and Expectations
In both scenarios, the lower boundary of the channel remains the key target area to watch. A clean retest of this level would align with previous reactions and could offer another potential base for continuation higher in the broader trend. Until then, the immediate expectation favors a move toward the downside.
Conclusion
EURUSD is consolidating with signs of weakness after the sweep of the highs, making a retracement toward the lower channel line the most probable outcome. Whether price drops directly from here or first taps into the red supply zone, the downside appears to be the more likely path in the short term.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
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Price is still dropping, heading towards our given level
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Disclaimer
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𝟔 𝐘𝐄𝐀𝐑𝐒 𝐄𝐗𝐏𝐄𝐑𝐈𝐄𝐍𝐂𝐄𝐃 𝐓𝐑𝐀𝐃𝐄𝐑
💎 Free Signals
t.me/codeandcandle
🎁 Free trading Discord community
bit.ly/TehThomas
🥇 My Preferred Exchange - 20% cashback
bit.ly/BloFin20
💎 Free Signals
t.me/codeandcandle
🎁 Free trading Discord community
bit.ly/TehThomas
🥇 My Preferred Exchange - 20% cashback
bit.ly/BloFin20
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.