Euro / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

EURUSD Gearing Up for Next Leg Up – DXY Weakens After PPI Miss

829
Today, key U.S. economic indexes were released, providing fresh insights into inflationary pressures and the state of the labor market:

Core PPI m/m:

Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.4%

Lower than expected – suggests weaker underlying producer inflation.


PPI m/m:

Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.5%

Slight miss – overall inflation at the producer level remains soft.


Unemployment Claims:

Actual: 248K | Forecast: 242K | Previous: 247K

Slightly higher than forecast – signaling some cooling in the labor market.


Market Outlook:

These data releases point toward cooling inflation and softness in job growth, which may strengthen the dovish narrative around the Fed’s next move.

DXY Index(DXY) is under pressure, and EURUSD(EURUSD) is showing signs of bullish momentum.
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Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame.

EURUSD is trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) and Monthly Resistance(2).

In terms of Elliott Wave theory, EURUSD appears to be completing microwave 4. Microwave 4 could be completed at one of the Fibonacci levels.

I expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) at least once more after completing microwave 4 and could even rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)[$1.172-$1.163].

Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1446[Worst Stop Loss(SL)], we can expect more dump.

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.

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snapshot

Wave 4 has completed at the support zone, and we should expect EURUSD to rise.

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