Euro / U.S. Dollar
Long

EUR/USD Bullish Setup in Progress as Wave C Targets 1.1622

56

🟢 LONG BIAS

📅 Updated: July 16

EUR/USD has completed a clean 5-wave impulse structure to the downside, followed by an unfolding ABC corrective pattern on the 5-minute chart. With Wave A and the ongoing B leg nearing completion, bulls may look to capitalize on a Wave C rally toward the 1.1622 resistance zone.

The structure suggests a temporary bullish move within a broader correction. Entry near the 1.1586 level offers a solid R:R setup, with invalidation below 1.1561. This setup is ideal for short-term intraday traders using Elliott Wave theory and expecting a 3-wave corrective rally.


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📊 Technical Structure (5M)

✅ 5-wave bearish impulse labeled (1)-(5) complete
✅ ABC correction developing (currently in Wave B)
✅ Potential for bullish continuation via Wave C

📌 Upside Target

✅ Final: 1.16224


🔻 Risk Zone

❌ Invalidation: Below 1.15618



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📈 Market Context

USD Consolidation: Dollar index pauses after strong rally, offering intraday relief to majors.

Euro Support: Mild bid across EUR crosses, offering stability in low-timeframe setups.

No High-Impact News: Ideal technical environment for short-term wave trading.



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⚠️ Risks to Watch

Breakdown below 1.1561 would invalidate the structure.

Sudden volatility from unscheduled news.

Failure of Wave C to reach projected resistance.



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🧭 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints

EUR/USD is setting up for a potential Wave C move toward 1.1622 as the ABC corrective structure plays out. Bullish bias holds above 1.1561 with a high-probability setup unfolding for short-term wave traders. Watch for price reaction near 1.1586 and use tight risk control.

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