Euro / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

EURUSD - Waiting for the Breakdown After 4H Sweep

9 636
EURUSD has just completed a sweep of the 4H highs, tagging liquidity resting above the consolidation range. That move looks like a classic inducement, with price now reacting lower and showing signs of weakness. This type of sweep, especially when it happens inside a range, often leads to a reversal back through the range, provided the internal low breaks cleanly. Right now, price is still hovering above that key point, but we can see signs of slowing momentum already.

Liquidity Context and Sweep Logic
This recent push above the highs fits well within ICT-style logic: a sweep of internal range liquidity that serves to fuel the opposite move. The chart shows a textbook example of a consolidation phase being manipulated to the upside first, where buy stops get triggered and liquidity is taken. The real move tends to unfold after that, once we get confirmation through structure breaks and displacement to the downside.

Structure Break and Bearish Confirmation
The internal low within the range is acting as a key trigger level. A clean break below that would serve as confirmation of a bearish market structure shift. That’s the point where the market goes from internal liquidity hunt to actual displacement. If that low gives way, the probability of continuation lower increases significantly, and that’s where I’ll be expecting price to seek the next pocket of liquidity.

Support and Key Area of Interest
There’s also a well-respected support level not too far below, one that price has bounced from several times. That area could either act as a temporary reaction zone or, if broken impulsively, could open the path toward deeper inefficiencies. Ideally, I want to see price break below both the internal low and this support area, then continue toward my next level of interest where I expect either a reaction or a higher probability setup to form.

Conclusion
For now, this setup is a waiting game. The liquidity has been swept on the upside, and now it’s all about whether the structure confirms to the downside. I’m not interested in chasing the first move. What I want to see is displacement below the internal low and support level, followed by continuation or a clean reaction from the next zone of interest.

Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.

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Price is going up, filling the wick. Downside still expected

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