Euro / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

DeGRAM | EURUSD double bottom

253
📊 Technical Analysis
● The price is currently testing the upper resistance of a descending wedge pattern after forming a clear double bottom formation. This double bottom occurred precisely at a confluence of support, where the long-term ascending support line intersects with the lower boundary of the wedge, indicating a strong potential for a bullish reversal from the 1.1450-1.1470 area.
● This recent bullish price action follows a prior "double top" pattern that initiated the corrective move downwards into the current wedge. A decisive breakout and hold above the wedge's resistance would invalidate the recent bearish pressure and confirm that buyers are taking control, with the first significant target being the horizontal resistance line near 1.1523.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Market attention is centered on the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting. While no rate change is expected, forward guidance is key. Current market sentiment, as noted by analysts at RoboForex and FreshForex, is pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut later this year, which could place downward pressure on the US Dollar.
● Conversely, the Euro is finding support from a comparatively hawkish European Central Bank (ECB). Recent reports indicate that the probability of an ECB rate cut has diminished, suggesting a policy divergence that favors EUR strength against the USD, underpinning the technical case for a move higher.

Summary
Long entry on a confirmed 30-minute candle close above the descending wedge resistance (~1.1485); initial target 1.1523 → 1.1560. The bullish outlook is invalidated on a close below the double bottom support at 1.1450.

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Trade closed: target reached
Closed +45 PIPS

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