Euro / U.S. Dollar
Long

Market next move

110

🔁 Disruption of the Current Analysis

1. False Breakout Scenario

The chart assumes a bullish move breaking resistance before a bearish reversal.

Disruption: This could be a false breakout, where the price appears to break above resistance but lacks strong volume and momentum. Traders get trapped long, and the price quickly reverses below resistance, invalidating the bullish leg entirely.


2. Stronger Uptrend Continuation

Despite calling for a bearish target, the overall trend appears strong with higher highs and higher lows.

Disruption: Instead of a retracement, EUR/USD could break through the resistance zone convincingly, possibly reaching 1.1750–1.1800, supported by:

Increasing volume

Bullish candles closing above resistance

No signs of bearish divergence on RSI/MACD (if added)



3. Fundamental Factors

The chart ignores macro data.

Disruption: If upcoming EU economic data is stronger than expected, or if US data disappoints, the euro could strengthen further.

Upcoming events with the euro and US flags suggest possible volatility.



4. Volume Contradiction

Recent bullish candles are supported by strong volume, suggesting accumulation.

Disruption: If smart money is accumulating positions, this would support further bullish continuation, not reversal.

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