The Day Ahead

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Weekly Summary – Key Data & Earnings (Week Ending August 2, 2025):

Economic Data:
US Jobs Report: Job growth slowed slightly; unemployment ticked up. Supports Fed holding rates steady.

US Manufacturing (ISM): Sector still shrinking, showing weakness.

US Car Sales & Construction: Car sales rose; construction spending up, led by infrastructure.

China Manufacturing: Still contracting due to weak demand.

Japan Jobs Data: Job market remains tight and stable.

Italy: Manufacturing down, car sales slightly up, budget and retail sales steady.

Eurozone Inflation: Inflation slowed, increasing chances of ECB rate cuts.

Canada Manufacturing: Slipped into contraction.

Earnings Highlights:
Exxon & Chevron: Mixed—refining strong, but oil prices hurt results.

Linde: Solid growth from healthcare and clean energy demand.

Nintendo: Strong game and digital sales boosted profits.

AXA: Insurance strong, but investment income dipped.

Regeneron: Beat forecasts, thanks to strong drug sales.

Ares: Private credit demand lifted earnings.

Engie: Renewables helped balance weaker thermal output.

Daimler Truck: Demand steady, but profit margins hit by costs.

LyondellBasell: Missed targets due to weak chemicals demand.

Moderna: COVID sales down; focus now on future drug pipeline.

Takeaway:
The global economy is slowing, but US jobs and spending remain resilient. Companies reported mixed earnings. Central banks are likely to stay cautious, with possible rate cuts ahead if weakness continues.

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