Euro / U.S. Dollar

EURUSD Sell signal timed perfectly. Can see a relief bounce now.

948
The EURUSD got sold-off heavily after the price broke inside the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) - 1D MA50 (red trend-line) Zone as we pointed out in our previous analysis:

EURUSD Hit the 4H MA200 after 21 days. Rejection or break-out?


As you see, the sell signal couldn't have been timed more perfectly and now the price sits comfortably well below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). As mentioned previously, the medium-term pattern is a Bearish Megaphone (since the August 10 High) and as you see, every prior bearish leg to a new Lower Low, had a 'relief' rebound towards the 4H MA50 shortly after breaking it. The first did so right before hitting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, the second right before the 0.786. Right now the price has marginally broken below the 0.618. We may be at an ideal spot for a quick short-term buy and reverse to selling on the 4H MA50 again. This is invalidated if the price closes above the 4H MA200.




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