On June 22, 2025, the United States launched air strikes on three Iranian nuclear sites (Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan), using bunker-buster bombs and Tomahawk missiles, some dropped by B-2 stealth bombers
President Trump declared that the facilities were “completely and totally obliterated”
📈 Tensions and geopolitical context
Tehran responded with missiles aimed at Israel and promised “tough responses”
The UN and key figures such as Guterres and Medvedev have defined the action as a dangerous escalation with the risk of a new conflict on a regional scale.
Israel supported the attacks, while Iran convened the UN Security Council to condemn the aggression.
💥 Market Impact
⚡ Energy Sector
Oil prices jump towards $90–100 per barrel on fears of flows from Iran and potential closures of the Strait of Hormuz.
Investors reacted with a move towards safe haven assets such as the Dollar, Gold and Treasuries.
📊 Equities and sensitive sectors
Starts on an uncertain tone: S&P500 and Nasdaq futures “volatile open”, with penalties on travel and tech, and increases on energy and defense.
Gulf markets open slightly higher (Saudi, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait), thanks to the attenuation of initial sell-offs.
🌍 Global economic impact
Weakening predictions from the World Bank, IMF and OECD predict an economic slowdown due to energy shocks and increased global tensions.
📌 Currency and Forex Scenario
USD has gained ground as a safe haven asset, benefiting from Safety flows.
Commodity-linked pairs, such as AUD/USD, NZD/USD and CAD/USD, will be pressured by rallying oil.
Potential increase in volatility on EUR/USD and GBP/USD: they rotate towards safe haven and US/China political risk.
📣 What to watch out for
Daily and H4 candlesticks in EUR/USD and GBP/USD to understand if support holds under geopolitical stress.
Volatility indicators (VIX | MOVE) are rising, it is useful to calibrate the size and prefer structured trades.
In the coming days it will be essential to monitor:
Reuters/Bloomberg for updates on possible sanctions or public retaliation.
ASEAN and Asia for regional reactions on energy supplies.
Central banks on inflation expectations due to high oil.
💡 Conclusions – Market and Forex Impact
This military action represents a classic geopolitical shock: rising dollar and defensive assets, pressure on oil and high volatility on stock markets and exchange rates. Unlike Israeli attacks, the direct entry of the US increases the degree of macro uncertainty.
For Forex traders:
USD Index: potential rebound within the bullish trend channel
Pairs with commodities: activate strategies on breakout key levels (e.g. AUD/USD, CAD/USD)
Anti-USD FX (EUR, GBP, JPY): under pressure and to be used in range rebound.
For the equity sector:
Rotation towards defensive sectors, defense, energy.
Possible entry into government bonds as a high inflation/political hedge.
Overall, the impact is clear: increased geopolitical risk → high volatility → shift towards USD/safe haven asset → penalization of sensitive assets.
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🔵 Official Partner of PEPPERSTONE
Full Broker benefits & Socials
👉 andrearussoforextrader.com
If you want to receive:
✅ precise TAKE PROFIT
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✅ updates on My Trades
👉 Telegram Channel: t.me/swipeuptrading
Full Broker benefits & Socials
👉 andrearussoforextrader.com
If you want to receive:
✅ precise TAKE PROFIT
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✅ updates on My Trades
👉 Telegram Channel: t.me/swipeuptrading
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.