Starting first looking at what the company is doing.
AI
The buzz word of most news headlines.
$200 Million Investment: FPT has committed to a landmark $200 million investment to build an AI Factory in partnership with global chip giant NVIDIA. The goal is to create a complete ecosystem for AI development, offering not just the raw computing power (GPU infrastructure) but also the software platforms (FPT AI Studio) and expert consulting needed to build and deploy AI solutions.
This one ties AI and chips together:
University Collaboration: FPT University is a strategic asset. They are working directly with NVIDIA and other institutions like the VNU University of Technology to incorporate AI into their curriculum, aiming to help train the 30,000 to 50,000 AI and semiconductor engineers Vietnam needs by 2030.
Chips
FPT is targeting the design aspect of making chips and there is a lot of international demand to cut into China's monopoly. FPT being in Vietnam is already in a strategically significant area. Samsung is Vietnam's single largest foreign investor and happens to be able to fabricate chips. They also have multiple existing partnerships with FPT and are no strangers to working together. Compute is hottest commodity of the modern age. Though compute is the final product I'll go over how we get there.
First stage mine it
Vietnam has an estimated 3.5 million metric tons Rare Earth Reserves. The world's sixth largest reserves. The key challenge is converting this immense potential into actual production and processed materials. In 2024 Vietnam produced 300 metric ton. So there is a lot of room to grow.
Why this matters:
This national ambition is backed by a new, aggressive legal framework. Key policies like Resolution 10-NQ/TW and the new Law on Geology and Minerals (effective July 1, 2025) mandate that raw ores must be processed in-country and explicitly push for Vietnamese companies and their partners to lead the charge. This strategy aims to prevent the export of raw minerals and build a complete high-value supply chain within Vietnam.
While FPT is not a mining company, these laws are designed to create a stable domestic supply of processed rare earths and high-value materials. This is a critical long-term advantage for a company like FPT aiming to build a world-class semiconductor design center, as it ensures future access to a secure, local supply chain.
Stage 2 is processing
Multiple countries are working on doing this. It's very complicated and the struggle seems to be making in cost effective outside of China.
Stage 3 Design
Conceptualizing the chip's architecture. (Fabless companies like NVIDIA do this). This is precisely the high-value role FPT is targeting.
Stage 4 Fabrication
This is mostly TSMC and Samsung. It's why Taiwan and chips is so related. Also worth mentioning Samsung not do fabrication in Vietnam. It does it in South Korea.
Stage 5 Assembly, Test, and Packaging (ATP)
Cutting the finished wafers into individual chips, assembling them into protective packages, and testing them to ensure they work. Companies like Intel and Samsung already do this in Vietnam.
Telecommunications Segment
While its growth is more modest (around +11.3% in 2024), it is highly profitable and provides consistent, predictable cash flow that helps fund the high-growth initiatives in the Technology segment.
Education & Other Investments
The education section has 1 simple con and that's birthrates in Vietnam. Currently below the replacement rate but effort is being made to change that. Other then that it's all good news. Over the last 50 years Vietnam has gone from it being common to have some elementary school education but no high school or university or English. To pumping out highly educated English and Vietnamese speaking students ready to take on global competition. This factory of new skilled workers means both proud parents and a nation about to steal the spotlight on a global stage. Vietnam while a small country by land mass makes up for it in a population of 100 million and a relentless work ethic. It's the definition of hard times make strong people and strong people make good times. The good times are coming. Why this matters to FPT Education? Good education costs money but it also makes $$$. With this new labor force they will be able to afford great education for the next generation. What else? Well when you got great education other people will use it. Looking forward, as Vietnam solidifies its status as a stable, high-tech hub, it's plausible that its top-tier educational institutions, like FPT University, will attract foreign students, creating an entirely new, high-margin revenue stream that is likely not on most investors' radar today.
Price Chart
Price is sitting on the weekly 8 SMA. Waiting for a move above 122000 VND this is the next FIB retracement level. Right now we have a possible low at 106000 VND and possible higher low at 115000 VND . Stoploss at 110 000 VND means that upside potential is way bigger then the downside risk. To be clear the stoploss can't be at 114900 while this might work with low volatility stocks on larger US exchanges. The risk of getting wicked out of a position here on HOSE is way different. My optimistic target right now would be 190 000 VND and FIB retracement projection is 192 500 VND. Most likely I'll take profit before that.
MACD cross
MACD is still bearish there is a chance of a cross in the next few weeks.
Daily saw a nice move up. It's also very close to attempting a cross up. It's bearish but allows for an asymmetric trade when down side stop loss can be small. While upside can be huge. Lose small and win big. I opted for tight stoploss rather then waiting for signals to all line up. Some people might be less aggressive but not waiting here is about identifying in the price favorable conditions for minimal downside. Meaning it's clear where the position become invalid.
RSI
The daily RSI has a really nice double bottom. To me this increases the likelihood of a reversal substantially.
Stoch RSI
With Stochastic RSI continuing to move up we should know soon if this position is correct of not.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this post is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, market, or trading strategy does not guarantee future results. I am not a financial advisor. Please conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. You are solely responsible for any investment decisions you make.
AI
The buzz word of most news headlines.
$200 Million Investment: FPT has committed to a landmark $200 million investment to build an AI Factory in partnership with global chip giant NVIDIA. The goal is to create a complete ecosystem for AI development, offering not just the raw computing power (GPU infrastructure) but also the software platforms (FPT AI Studio) and expert consulting needed to build and deploy AI solutions.
This one ties AI and chips together:
University Collaboration: FPT University is a strategic asset. They are working directly with NVIDIA and other institutions like the VNU University of Technology to incorporate AI into their curriculum, aiming to help train the 30,000 to 50,000 AI and semiconductor engineers Vietnam needs by 2030.
Chips
FPT is targeting the design aspect of making chips and there is a lot of international demand to cut into China's monopoly. FPT being in Vietnam is already in a strategically significant area. Samsung is Vietnam's single largest foreign investor and happens to be able to fabricate chips. They also have multiple existing partnerships with FPT and are no strangers to working together. Compute is hottest commodity of the modern age. Though compute is the final product I'll go over how we get there.
First stage mine it
Vietnam has an estimated 3.5 million metric tons Rare Earth Reserves. The world's sixth largest reserves. The key challenge is converting this immense potential into actual production and processed materials. In 2024 Vietnam produced 300 metric ton. So there is a lot of room to grow.
Why this matters:
This national ambition is backed by a new, aggressive legal framework. Key policies like Resolution 10-NQ/TW and the new Law on Geology and Minerals (effective July 1, 2025) mandate that raw ores must be processed in-country and explicitly push for Vietnamese companies and their partners to lead the charge. This strategy aims to prevent the export of raw minerals and build a complete high-value supply chain within Vietnam.
While FPT is not a mining company, these laws are designed to create a stable domestic supply of processed rare earths and high-value materials. This is a critical long-term advantage for a company like FPT aiming to build a world-class semiconductor design center, as it ensures future access to a secure, local supply chain.
Stage 2 is processing
Multiple countries are working on doing this. It's very complicated and the struggle seems to be making in cost effective outside of China.
Stage 3 Design
Conceptualizing the chip's architecture. (Fabless companies like NVIDIA do this). This is precisely the high-value role FPT is targeting.
Stage 4 Fabrication
This is mostly TSMC and Samsung. It's why Taiwan and chips is so related. Also worth mentioning Samsung not do fabrication in Vietnam. It does it in South Korea.
Stage 5 Assembly, Test, and Packaging (ATP)
Cutting the finished wafers into individual chips, assembling them into protective packages, and testing them to ensure they work. Companies like Intel and Samsung already do this in Vietnam.
Telecommunications Segment
While its growth is more modest (around +11.3% in 2024), it is highly profitable and provides consistent, predictable cash flow that helps fund the high-growth initiatives in the Technology segment.
Education & Other Investments
The education section has 1 simple con and that's birthrates in Vietnam. Currently below the replacement rate but effort is being made to change that. Other then that it's all good news. Over the last 50 years Vietnam has gone from it being common to have some elementary school education but no high school or university or English. To pumping out highly educated English and Vietnamese speaking students ready to take on global competition. This factory of new skilled workers means both proud parents and a nation about to steal the spotlight on a global stage. Vietnam while a small country by land mass makes up for it in a population of 100 million and a relentless work ethic. It's the definition of hard times make strong people and strong people make good times. The good times are coming. Why this matters to FPT Education? Good education costs money but it also makes $$$. With this new labor force they will be able to afford great education for the next generation. What else? Well when you got great education other people will use it. Looking forward, as Vietnam solidifies its status as a stable, high-tech hub, it's plausible that its top-tier educational institutions, like FPT University, will attract foreign students, creating an entirely new, high-margin revenue stream that is likely not on most investors' radar today.
Price Chart
Price is sitting on the weekly 8 SMA. Waiting for a move above 122000 VND this is the next FIB retracement level. Right now we have a possible low at 106000 VND and possible higher low at 115000 VND . Stoploss at 110 000 VND means that upside potential is way bigger then the downside risk. To be clear the stoploss can't be at 114900 while this might work with low volatility stocks on larger US exchanges. The risk of getting wicked out of a position here on HOSE is way different. My optimistic target right now would be 190 000 VND and FIB retracement projection is 192 500 VND. Most likely I'll take profit before that.
MACD cross
MACD is still bearish there is a chance of a cross in the next few weeks.
Daily saw a nice move up. It's also very close to attempting a cross up. It's bearish but allows for an asymmetric trade when down side stop loss can be small. While upside can be huge. Lose small and win big. I opted for tight stoploss rather then waiting for signals to all line up. Some people might be less aggressive but not waiting here is about identifying in the price favorable conditions for minimal downside. Meaning it's clear where the position become invalid.
RSI
The daily RSI has a really nice double bottom. To me this increases the likelihood of a reversal substantially.
Stoch RSI
With Stochastic RSI continuing to move up we should know soon if this position is correct of not.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this post is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, market, or trading strategy does not guarantee future results. I am not a financial advisor. Please conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. You are solely responsible for any investment decisions you make.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.