🇬🇧 GBPAUD 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
GBP/AUD is currently facing resistance around the 2.0969 level , a zone where price has previously reversed. While this level has historically acted as a ceiling, the market has been printing higher highs and higher lows, suggesting bullish momentum leading into this resistance.
However, this rally may not be as simple as it appears. We are observing signs of silent accumulation, potentially from market makers, along with pending buy orders being triggered by retail traders at this level. This sets up a classic scenario for a liquidity hunt — a move intended to liquidate buyers' stop-losses placed below a nearby minor key level.
🕵️ Strategic Plan: Wait for Manipulation
📌 Step 1: Wait for liquidity to be formed below the minor key level — this will signal possible manipulation (fakeout/liquidity grab).
📌 Step 2: Watch for price to reclaim the key level with momentum.
📌 Step 3: Entry will be considered at 2.09460 after confirmation of liquidity and break back above the minor key.
We are now watching for a manipulation move — price breaking below the minor key level to collect liquidity, followed by a re-break above as confirmation of smart money re-entry.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 2.09460
🛡 Stop-Loss: 2.08300 (below liquidity zone)
🎯 Take Profit: 2.13270 (next potential resistance zone)
📐 Risk–Reward: 1:3
This setup is ideal for traders watching for smart money reversal patterns and liquidity plays on higher timeframes.
📰 Fundamental Outlook
🇬🇧 GBP Strength – Supported by Positive Data
Strong UK Economic Data: Recent releases show higher-than-expected GDP growth, low unemployment, and resilient retail sales — reinforcing GBP bullish sentiment.
Sticky Inflation: Inflation remains above the Bank of England’s 2% target, keeping the possibility of future rate hikes or at least delayed rate cuts alive.
🇦🇺 AUD Weakness – Dragged by Dovish RBA
RBA Dovish Stance: The Reserve Bank of Australia has maintained a cautious tone amid softening domestic growth and falling inflation expectations, increasing the likelihood of future rate cuts — a bearish driver for AUD.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
GBP/AUD is currently facing resistance around the 2.0969 level , a zone where price has previously reversed. While this level has historically acted as a ceiling, the market has been printing higher highs and higher lows, suggesting bullish momentum leading into this resistance.
However, this rally may not be as simple as it appears. We are observing signs of silent accumulation, potentially from market makers, along with pending buy orders being triggered by retail traders at this level. This sets up a classic scenario for a liquidity hunt — a move intended to liquidate buyers' stop-losses placed below a nearby minor key level.
🕵️ Strategic Plan: Wait for Manipulation
📌 Step 1: Wait for liquidity to be formed below the minor key level — this will signal possible manipulation (fakeout/liquidity grab).
📌 Step 2: Watch for price to reclaim the key level with momentum.
📌 Step 3: Entry will be considered at 2.09460 after confirmation of liquidity and break back above the minor key.
We are now watching for a manipulation move — price breaking below the minor key level to collect liquidity, followed by a re-break above as confirmation of smart money re-entry.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 2.09460
🛡 Stop-Loss: 2.08300 (below liquidity zone)
🎯 Take Profit: 2.13270 (next potential resistance zone)
📐 Risk–Reward: 1:3
This setup is ideal for traders watching for smart money reversal patterns and liquidity plays on higher timeframes.
📰 Fundamental Outlook
🇬🇧 GBP Strength – Supported by Positive Data
Strong UK Economic Data: Recent releases show higher-than-expected GDP growth, low unemployment, and resilient retail sales — reinforcing GBP bullish sentiment.
Sticky Inflation: Inflation remains above the Bank of England’s 2% target, keeping the possibility of future rate hikes or at least delayed rate cuts alive.
🇦🇺 AUD Weakness – Dragged by Dovish RBA
RBA Dovish Stance: The Reserve Bank of Australia has maintained a cautious tone amid softening domestic growth and falling inflation expectations, increasing the likelihood of future rate cuts — a bearish driver for AUD.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.