Fundamental Analysis
The British pound (GBP) outperformed its major peers in New York trading on Friday. The British currency gained significantly as the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that retail sales rebounded in July, as expected, after a sharp decline in June.
Retail sales are a key gauge of consumer spending. Strong consumer demand tends to drive inflationary pressures in the economy, so the data could dampen expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will opt to cut interest rates again in September.
The BoE's next monetary policy meeting in September could also be a tough call. UK service sector inflation fell sharply in July as wage growth slowed. However, the latest labor market data also showed a surprising drop in the Unemployment Rate and the economy is clearly on the path of expansion.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD continues to trade in an ascending channel with the nearest support and resistance in the price range at 1.286 and 1.300 after posting a strong gain on Friday. On the H4 timeframe, the EMA 34 has crossed well above the EMA 89, indicating a strong bullish market structure, with the upside momentum heading towards last month’s high resistance around 1.304. On the other hand, any daily close below the 1.286 support would not confirm a bearish reversal. The pair needs to break the support level of 1.280 to really break the bullish structure on the current chart. RSI reaches the overbought level, indicating that the bullish momentum will continue in the early days of next week
Resistance: 1.300-1.304
Support: 1.286-1.280
Trading signal
SELL GBPUSD 1.303-1.305 SL 1.307
BUY GBPUSD 1.287-1.285 SL 1.283
The British pound (GBP) outperformed its major peers in New York trading on Friday. The British currency gained significantly as the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that retail sales rebounded in July, as expected, after a sharp decline in June.
Retail sales are a key gauge of consumer spending. Strong consumer demand tends to drive inflationary pressures in the economy, so the data could dampen expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will opt to cut interest rates again in September.
The BoE's next monetary policy meeting in September could also be a tough call. UK service sector inflation fell sharply in July as wage growth slowed. However, the latest labor market data also showed a surprising drop in the Unemployment Rate and the economy is clearly on the path of expansion.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD continues to trade in an ascending channel with the nearest support and resistance in the price range at 1.286 and 1.300 after posting a strong gain on Friday. On the H4 timeframe, the EMA 34 has crossed well above the EMA 89, indicating a strong bullish market structure, with the upside momentum heading towards last month’s high resistance around 1.304. On the other hand, any daily close below the 1.286 support would not confirm a bearish reversal. The pair needs to break the support level of 1.280 to really break the bullish structure on the current chart. RSI reaches the overbought level, indicating that the bullish momentum will continue in the early days of next week
Resistance: 1.300-1.304
Support: 1.286-1.280
Trading signal
SELL GBPUSD 1.303-1.305 SL 1.307
BUY GBPUSD 1.287-1.285 SL 1.283
Note
have a nice weekNote
GBP/USD touches one-month peak around mid-1.2900s, seems poised to climb furtherThe GBP/USD pair builds on last week's breakout momentum and climbs to over a one-month peak, around mid-1.2900s during the Asian session on Monday. The strong move up comes on the back of the recent solid bounce from the vicinity of a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and could be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders.
Note
GBP/USD climbs for a third straight day as Greenback recedesGBP/USD rose one-third of one percent after the US Dollar continued to recede to kick off the new trading week. Greenback flows extended a near-term course reversal as investors shrug off a recent downswing in market sentiment.
Note
Plan SELL running + 30 pips
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JOIN OUR FREE TELEGRAM GROUP t.me/+7rqP7ECMjpUxMzBl
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.