GBPUSD is unfolding exactly as anticipated, with price now hovering around the 1.3740 region and maintaining strong bullish momentum. Price has successfully bounced from the key support zone near 1.3430, which was previously a major resistance turned into solid demand. This level held firmly during multiple retests, confirming a clean breakout-retest continuation pattern. As long as this structure remains intact, I continue to hold a bullish bias targeting 1.4000 in the coming sessions.
From a fundamental perspective, the British Pound is gaining strength on the back of improved UK economic sentiment. The latest UK inflation data surprised to the upside, pushing annual CPI back above 3%, which reinforces expectations that the Bank of England may need to act sooner rather than later on rate hikes. Markets are now pricing in higher probability of a rate adjustment before the end of Q3 2025. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is under moderate pressure as recent soft labor data and downward revisions in consumer confidence readings have dampened expectations for further tightening from the Fed.
Technically, GBPUSD has cleared major Fibonacci resistance levels and is now forming higher highs and higher lows across the higher timeframes. The current bullish wave is fueled by clean institutional demand and strong price action momentum. If the pair can sustain above 1.3650–1.3680, a swift move toward the psychological 1.4000 handle is highly probable. The 1.4218 Fibonacci extension aligns as a longer-term secondary target for swing traders holding this bullish continuation.
This setup offers a solid blend of macroeconomic backing and technical structure. GBPUSD remains one of the top trending forex pairs right now, favored by strong price action, central bank divergence, and global capital rotation. I'm closely monitoring for intraday pullbacks to add long positions, aiming for extended upside as the market follows through on this bullish breakout continuation.
From a fundamental perspective, the British Pound is gaining strength on the back of improved UK economic sentiment. The latest UK inflation data surprised to the upside, pushing annual CPI back above 3%, which reinforces expectations that the Bank of England may need to act sooner rather than later on rate hikes. Markets are now pricing in higher probability of a rate adjustment before the end of Q3 2025. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is under moderate pressure as recent soft labor data and downward revisions in consumer confidence readings have dampened expectations for further tightening from the Fed.
Technically, GBPUSD has cleared major Fibonacci resistance levels and is now forming higher highs and higher lows across the higher timeframes. The current bullish wave is fueled by clean institutional demand and strong price action momentum. If the pair can sustain above 1.3650–1.3680, a swift move toward the psychological 1.4000 handle is highly probable. The 1.4218 Fibonacci extension aligns as a longer-term secondary target for swing traders holding this bullish continuation.
This setup offers a solid blend of macroeconomic backing and technical structure. GBPUSD remains one of the top trending forex pairs right now, favored by strong price action, central bank divergence, and global capital rotation. I'm closely monitoring for intraday pullbacks to add long positions, aiming for extended upside as the market follows through on this bullish breakout continuation.
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Join our Forex Community Telegram group and connect with thousands of traders.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.