The GBPUSD pair has completed 2 straight red months (1M candles) after an emphatic rejection within the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) and 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). We rarely look at the 1M (monthly) time-frame but this time it is needed in order to gain a long-term perspective following this rejection and bearish reversal.
July's rejection took place none other than the Lower Highs trend-line, the multi-decade Resistance level that started during the 2007/08 Housing Crisis. As you can see this is where the May 2021 top was rejected too. We can view this 16 year price action as a Falling Wedge. Every Lower Highs of the Wedge has been price near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and every Lower Low near the -0.236 extension.
So as the title says, is the British Pound doomed? Well on 1 year perspective at least, chances are we should see it testing 1.1000 (at least). The -0.236 extension is much lower at 0.9450. Perhaps 1.0000 (parity) could be a fair target inside 2025. Keep in mind however that Falling Wedges have a tendency to break upwards aggressively. Not entirely applicable to such long term price action (that is vastly affected by fundamentals) but it gives us a certain degree of perspective. We could see the Falling Wedge breaking upwards around 2027.
Do you think GBPUSD will keep dropping until then?
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July's rejection took place none other than the Lower Highs trend-line, the multi-decade Resistance level that started during the 2007/08 Housing Crisis. As you can see this is where the May 2021 top was rejected too. We can view this 16 year price action as a Falling Wedge. Every Lower Highs of the Wedge has been price near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and every Lower Low near the -0.236 extension.
So as the title says, is the British Pound doomed? Well on 1 year perspective at least, chances are we should see it testing 1.1000 (at least). The -0.236 extension is much lower at 0.9450. Perhaps 1.0000 (parity) could be a fair target inside 2025. Keep in mind however that Falling Wedges have a tendency to break upwards aggressively. Not entirely applicable to such long term price action (that is vastly affected by fundamentals) but it gives us a certain degree of perspective. We could see the Falling Wedge breaking upwards around 2027.
Do you think GBPUSD will keep dropping until then?
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! **
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🔥New service: next X100 crypto GEMS!
💰Free Channel t.me/tradingshotglobal
🤵Contact info@tradingshot.com t.me/tradingshot
🔥New service: next X100 crypto GEMS!
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.