Disruption: Bearish Counter-Analysis
1. Rising Wedge Pattern:
The price action resembles a rising wedge, not a bullish channel.
Rising wedges are typically bearish reversal patterns, especially after strong prior bullish moves.
2. Decreasing Volume:
Volume is tapering off as price climbs, which often signals weakening buying pressure.
Lack of strong volume near resistance suggests potential fake-out risk.
3. Bearish Divergence Risk:
Not visible here, but on RSI or MACD, rising price with slowing momentum often triggers bearish divergence.
This could suggest an imminent drop.
4. False Breakout Trap:
The highlighted resistance zone could trap late buyers.
A fake breakout followed by a strong red candle could trigger stop-loss hunts, dragging price sharply lower.
5. Macro Event Warning:
The U.S. flag at the bottom suggests high-impact news is due.
If USD strengthens, GBP/USD may reject the resistance and drop fast, invalidating the long setup.
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