GBP/USD continues to weaken under the weight of renewed dollar strength. The pair has traded below its 50-day moving average for an extended period, and technical signals are aligning for further downside.
Last week’s bearish pinbar on the weekly chart highlighted rejection near key resistance, and now a potential bearish close on the monthly chart—marked by a large shadow candle—could reinforce the negative bias. If confirmed, this would suggest sustained pressure into August and beyond.
The U.S. dollar is gaining traction on the back of resilient economic data, stable inflation expectations, and rising Treasury yields. No changes are expected from the Federal Reserve in the near term, which removes uncertainty and supports the dollar through steady policy.
Meanwhile, the UK outlook remains fragile. Political uncertainty, weak economic momentum, and unclear forward guidance from the Bank of England are weighing on the Pound. Wage growth is slowing, inflation is cooling, and real yields remain under pressure.
If GBP/USD breaks below the recent support near 1.3205, it could open the door to deeper losses. As long as dollar strength persists and UK fundamentals remain soft, the pair may remain under bearish control. Watch for a confirmed monthly close to validate the setup.
Last week’s bearish pinbar on the weekly chart highlighted rejection near key resistance, and now a potential bearish close on the monthly chart—marked by a large shadow candle—could reinforce the negative bias. If confirmed, this would suggest sustained pressure into August and beyond.
The U.S. dollar is gaining traction on the back of resilient economic data, stable inflation expectations, and rising Treasury yields. No changes are expected from the Federal Reserve in the near term, which removes uncertainty and supports the dollar through steady policy.
Meanwhile, the UK outlook remains fragile. Political uncertainty, weak economic momentum, and unclear forward guidance from the Bank of England are weighing on the Pound. Wage growth is slowing, inflation is cooling, and real yields remain under pressure.
If GBP/USD breaks below the recent support near 1.3205, it could open the door to deeper losses. As long as dollar strength persists and UK fundamentals remain soft, the pair may remain under bearish control. Watch for a confirmed monthly close to validate the setup.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.