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🔍 Original Analysis Summary:

Bearish Outlook: Price is expected to decline from the recent high.

Support Level: Identified near 1.34400.

Target Zone: Around 1.34200 based on breakdown expectations.

Reasoning: Possibly based on rejection near resistance and anticipation of bearish follow-through.



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⚠️ Disruption (Bullish/Neutral Counter-Scenario):

1. Strong Bullish Candle at Resistance

The last candle is a bullish engulfing near recent highs, indicating buyer strength.

Rather than rejecting, price appears to break out of consolidation.



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2. Volume Supporting Bullish Momentum

Increasing green volume bars show accumulating demand, not weakness.

Could imply a liquidity grab before a bullish continuation.



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3. Failed Breakdown Attempts

Price has attempted to fall multiple times (wicks downward), but was bought up quickly.

That often signals trap setups where short sellers are being baited.



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4. Macro Sentiment / USD Weakness Risk

With upcoming U.S. economic news (red circle), any sign of a weaker USD could invalidate the bearish scenario entirely.

GBP tends to benefit from any shift in U.S. interest rate expectations or economic softness.

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