Market next move

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🚨 Disruption Analysis of the Gold CFD Chart

1. Over-Optimistic Target Placement

The target is placed significantly above the current market trend without substantial confirmation of a reversal.

The recent bullish candles are weak and not supported by volume spikes.

There's a bearish engulfing pattern forming, suggesting a possible continuation of the downtrend.


2. Weak Volume Confirmation

The rise in price does not coincide with a strong increase in buying volume.

Volume bars are mixed and not clearly favoring buyers, indicating market indecision rather than strength.


3. False Bottom Assumption

The assumption that the market has bottomed on the 27th is speculative.

Without a double-bottom pattern or significant bullish divergence on an RSI/MACD (not shown here), the upward bias is unjustified.


4. Price Action Breakdown

Lower highs and lower lows are still visible.

The short bounce could be a retracement rather than a trend reversal.


5. Macro or Fundamental Events Ignored

Given the presence of the US flag icon (economic event), any upcoming data release (like GDP, interest rates, etc.) could drastically alter market direction.

Trading before news without adjusting targets and stops is risky.

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