Gold
Short

XAU/USD) Bearish Trend Read The caption

220
SMC Trading point update



Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, showing both a potential retracement and a bullish continuation.


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Technical Breakdown:

1. Current Market Structure:

Price recently made a strong bullish push from the key support level (~3,329–3,335), breaking structure to the upside.

It is now approaching a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and resistance zone between 3,380.47 and 3,396.19.



2. Key Zones Identified:

FVG / Resistance Zone: 3,380.47–3,396.19 — where price might initially reject (red arrow) due to unfilled imbalance and previous supply.

Key Support Zone: 3,329.27–3,335.31 — potential area of re-entry or demand if price pulls back.

EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at 3,335.58, aligning with key support.



3. Price Path Scenarios:

Primary Expectation: Price may tap into the FVG, face rejection, then pull back into the key support level for a higher low.

From there, it is projected to bounce back strongly toward the ultimate target at 3,438.73, marking a 3.19% upside move.



4. RSI (14):

RSI at 64.77, indicating strong bullish momentum but not yet in overbought territory. Favorable for continuation, but a short-term correction is possible.


Mr SMC Trading point


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Trade Idea Summary:

Bias: Bullish (after a short-term rejection)

Entry Zones:

Watch for rejection at 3,380–3,396

Look to enter on a retest of 3,335–3,329 support


Target Zone: 3,438.73

Invalidation: Sustained breakdown below 3,329 or bearish engulfing with high volume

EMA & RSI Support: EMA 200 backs bullish bias; RSI confirms momentum





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