# 🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – 2H Price Action & SMC Outlook
**Date:** 2025/08/12
**Timeframe:** 2H (Heikin Ashi)
**Style:** Smart Money Concept (SMC) + Fair Value Gap (FVG)
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## 📊 Market Context
Gold is currently testing the **FVG support area** around **3,349 – 3,350**, with a visible **CHOCH** structure forming on the chart. The reaction from this level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
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## 📈 Bullish Scenario (Primary)
1. **Condition:**
- Price respects the FVG zone (**3,349.9**)
- CHOCH breaks to the upside
- Clean break and close above **3,401.2**
2. **Expected Move:**
- Retest of the breakout zone for liquidity grab
- Extension towards **3,440** as the main target
3. **Targets:**
- 🎯 TP1: **3,401.2** (break confirmation)
- 🎯 TP2: **3,440** (major resistance & supply)
4. **Invalidation:**
- A close below **3,345** would weaken the bullish case and expose lower demand.
---
## 📉 Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
1. **Condition:**
- Price fails to break **3,401.2**
- Strong rejection from the descending trendline
2. **Expected Move:**
- Return to the FVG zone at **3,349.9**
- If broken, possible continuation towards **3,320 – 3,325**
---
## ⚠️ Analysis Validity
This analysis remains valid while **FVG support holds** and a **bullish CHOCH breakout** occurs.
Failure to hold the FVG could trigger deeper retracements.
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#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SMC #FVG #CHOCH #TradingView
**Date:** 2025/08/12
**Timeframe:** 2H (Heikin Ashi)
**Style:** Smart Money Concept (SMC) + Fair Value Gap (FVG)
---
## 📊 Market Context
Gold is currently testing the **FVG support area** around **3,349 – 3,350**, with a visible **CHOCH** structure forming on the chart. The reaction from this level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
---
## 📈 Bullish Scenario (Primary)
1. **Condition:**
- Price respects the FVG zone (**3,349.9**)
- CHOCH breaks to the upside
- Clean break and close above **3,401.2**
2. **Expected Move:**
- Retest of the breakout zone for liquidity grab
- Extension towards **3,440** as the main target
3. **Targets:**
- 🎯 TP1: **3,401.2** (break confirmation)
- 🎯 TP2: **3,440** (major resistance & supply)
4. **Invalidation:**
- A close below **3,345** would weaken the bullish case and expose lower demand.
---
## 📉 Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
1. **Condition:**
- Price fails to break **3,401.2**
- Strong rejection from the descending trendline
2. **Expected Move:**
- Return to the FVG zone at **3,349.9**
- If broken, possible continuation towards **3,320 – 3,325**
---
## ⚠️ Analysis Validity
This analysis remains valid while **FVG support holds** and a **bullish CHOCH breakout** occurs.
Failure to hold the FVG could trigger deeper retracements.
---
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SMC #FVG #CHOCH #TradingView
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.