GOOGL Slips into Bearish Gamma Territory. 8/1

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GOOGL Slips into Bearish Gamma Territory — Eyes on $190 Defense or Slide to $187.50

🔍 GEX & Options Flow Insight (1st Image Analysis)
GOOGL has broken down from its recent consolidation and is now testing the $190–$192 gamma support band. The GEX profile shows heavy negative gamma just below current price, increasing the risk of accelerated selling if $190 fails.
* Call Walls & Resistance:
* 📍 $194.91–$196.53 → First resistance zone
* 📍 $197.85 → Highest positive NET GEX / Gamma Wall
* 📍 $202.50+ → Out of immediate range unless a strong reversal occurs
* Put Walls & Support Zones:
* 🛡️ $190.50 → Current gamma pivot
* 🚨 $187.50 → 2nd Put Wall / Hard gamma floor
* 📉 Below $187.50 opens the door to $185–$182
* Volatility Insight:
* IVR 18.9, IVx Avg 32.5 → Slightly elevated IV
* Call flow 11.2% → Bearish leaning
* GEX sentiment: 🔴🔴🔴 = Negative gamma environment → more volatility to downside

✅ Option Trading Suggestion:
Bias: Bearish unless reclaiming $194+
Strategy: Bear put spread
* Entry Idea: Buy 190P / Sell 185P for Aug 2 or Aug 9 expiry
* Invalidation: Close above $194.91
* Target: $187.50 → $185
Why this works: Dealers in negative gamma hedge by selling into weakness, which can accelerate moves lower. Losing $190 likely brings $187.50 quickly into play.

🧠 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) (2nd Image Analysis)
snapshot
Market Structure & SMC:
* 🟥 CHoCH confirmed after rejection from $197.85 supply
* ❌ Price broke BOS support from $194.91 area
* Trading in a descending structure toward $190 support
Trendline Dynamics:
* Broke short-term uptrend
* Now respecting a lower parallel channel toward $187.50
SMC Zones:
* 🟩 Demand Zone: $190.50–$187.50 → First defense zone
* 🟥 Supply Zone (Purple Box): $194.91–$197.85 → Immediate resistance

🔄 Price Action & Key Levels
* Support:
* ✅ $190.50 → Current hold line
* ✅ $187.50 → Gamma floor
* 🚨 Below $187.50 → $185 → $182
* Resistance:
* 🚩 $194.91 → First reclaim level for relief rally
* 🚩 $196.53–$197.85 → Supply + Gamma Wall

🧭 Scalping / Intraday Trade Setup
🟥 Bearish Setup (Preferred):
* Entry: Failed bounce at $194–$195
* Target 1: $190.50
* Target 2: $187.50
* Stop: Above $196
🟩 Bullish Reversal Setup:
* Entry: Strong reclaim of $196.50 with volume
* Target 1: $197.85
* Target 2: $200+
* Stop: Back under $194

🔁 Summary Thoughts
* GOOGL has shifted from neutral to negative gamma, favoring continued downside pressure.
* $190.50 is the short-term line in the sand — losing it risks a swift trip to $187.50.
* Any bounce into $194–$196 is likely to face selling pressure unless backed by volume and a gamma flip.

🚨 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.

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