6/30/25 - $googl - Catching my eye again...

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6/30/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: GOOGL
Catching my eye again...

- while i don't typically enjoy having multiple positions on/ and that i incubate, GOOGL is catching my eye again
- made the quick scoop on the ridiculous AAPL testimony (see chart) on may 7th for a nice trade but i was back out of it in the days ahead as it recovered the entirety of the drop
- but now the more i'm using gemini (and it's the best model on the market) but ALSO understanding how the TPUs the co has been building allow for massively cheaper inference... i'm beginning to wonder, if the market understands this advantage of serving up compute across it's portfolio of products
- with fcf yields (in '26) nearly 4%... double digit growth, "no" it's not NVDA, but it's also a bit more de-risked as a platform play
- what worries is when i chart GOOGL/QQQ (google on it's nasdaq pair), it's basically been FLAT for the last 15 years. so you've been better off owning nasdaq only (lower risk, same return)
- but with that being said, i like the inflection i'm noticing on the application of compute across the company
- and for all of you saying "yeah the culture is rotten"... perhaps you're right - i think that's well known (so again where's your edge/ isn't that "in" the price?). consider how the application of compute here may be replacing this cost structure faster than it can erode. a dollar saved is a dollar earned.
- and then you have the upside of sundar being fired, he may be a product guy, but the low T and lack of solid communication definitely as a net negative. can't say the same for many of these other co's. so that's a bump if/when that happens. and if doesn't (and it's not necessarily expected)... i think stock does just fine.
- i'd be looking to size up if/when we get a bit of a mkt shakeup- garden variety pullback
- but for now i'm content to use some ITM leverage for '27 leaps and put this thing as a low single digit position in my PnL

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