HPE Earnings Trade Idea – Moderately Bullish Setup into 6/6 Expi
📈 HPE Earnings Trade Idea – Moderately Bullish Setup into 6/6 Expiry
🗓️ Earnings Date: June 4 (AMC) | 🧮 Expected Move: ±7.3%
🎯 Targeting breakout past $18.00 resistance with call option sweep
🧠 Multi-Model Summary & Sentiment
Model Bias Strategy Strike Entry PT SL Conf.
Grok Mod. Bullish Buy Call 18.00 0.58 1.00 0.25 70%
Claude Mod. Bearish Buy Put 17.50 0.69 1.00 0.45 68%
Llama Neutral/No Edge No Trade — — — — <60%
Gemini Mod. Bullish Buy Call 18.00 0.58 1.16 0.58 65%
DeepSeek Mod. Bullish Buy Call 18.00 0.58 1.16 0.25 70%
📊 Key Technicals & Setup
Historical EPS moves: ±4.5%–8.6% range typical
Current setup: Coiled between 50/200-day MAs
Open Interest: Clustered at $17.50–$18.00
IV Rank: 0.75 (elevated, but tradable)
Max Pain: $17.50 — possible pin risk
AI Narrative Tailwinds: Target price $19.98 (per Gemini model)
🧠 Strategy Logic
Majority model consensus = Moderately Bullish
We're targeting a single-leg, short-term call to capture upside earnings momentum
🎯 Trade Setup
Instrument: HPE
Direction: CALL (LONG)
Strike: $18.00
Expiry: 2025-06-06
Entry Price: $0.58
Profit Target: $1.16 (100% gain)
Stop Loss: $0.25 (~43% loss)
Entry Timing: Before earnings close (June 4, AMC)
⚠️ Risk Management & Exit Plan
⛔ Stop-loss: Hard stop at $0.25
🎯 Profit-taking: Scale out at $1.00–$1.16
📆 Time-based exit: Close before Friday if no momentum
💼 Size: Max 2–3% of total portfolio due to IV crush risk
🚩 Key Risks
IV crush post-earnings could negate even correct directional bets
Earnings miss or weak guidance = breakdown toward $17.00
Max pain gravity around $17.50 could suppress movement into Friday
🗓️ Earnings Date: June 4 (AMC) | 🧮 Expected Move: ±7.3%
🎯 Targeting breakout past $18.00 resistance with call option sweep
🧠 Multi-Model Summary & Sentiment
Model Bias Strategy Strike Entry PT SL Conf.
Grok Mod. Bullish Buy Call 18.00 0.58 1.00 0.25 70%
Claude Mod. Bearish Buy Put 17.50 0.69 1.00 0.45 68%
Llama Neutral/No Edge No Trade — — — — <60%
Gemini Mod. Bullish Buy Call 18.00 0.58 1.16 0.58 65%
DeepSeek Mod. Bullish Buy Call 18.00 0.58 1.16 0.25 70%
📊 Key Technicals & Setup
Historical EPS moves: ±4.5%–8.6% range typical
Current setup: Coiled between 50/200-day MAs
Open Interest: Clustered at $17.50–$18.00
IV Rank: 0.75 (elevated, but tradable)
Max Pain: $17.50 — possible pin risk
AI Narrative Tailwinds: Target price $19.98 (per Gemini model)
🧠 Strategy Logic
Majority model consensus = Moderately Bullish
We're targeting a single-leg, short-term call to capture upside earnings momentum
🎯 Trade Setup
Instrument: HPE
Direction: CALL (LONG)
Strike: $18.00
Expiry: 2025-06-06
Entry Price: $0.58
Profit Target: $1.16 (100% gain)
Stop Loss: $0.25 (~43% loss)
Entry Timing: Before earnings close (June 4, AMC)
⚠️ Risk Management & Exit Plan
⛔ Stop-loss: Hard stop at $0.25
🎯 Profit-taking: Scale out at $1.00–$1.16
📆 Time-based exit: Close before Friday if no momentum
💼 Size: Max 2–3% of total portfolio due to IV crush risk
🚩 Key Risks
IV crush post-earnings could negate even correct directional bets
Earnings miss or weak guidance = breakdown toward $17.00
Max pain gravity around $17.50 could suppress movement into Friday
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.