Kadena / Tether
Long

KDA/USDT – Major Reversal Brewing from Multi-Year Demand Zone?

91
🔍 Technical Breakdown – Weekly Timeframe

Kadena (KDA) is currently trading at a make-or-break level after months of persistent downtrend. The price is revisiting a historical multi-year demand zone between $0.31 - $0.45, an area that previously acted as a launchpad for major rallies.

This range has consistently attracted buyers, forming a strong base of accumulation, as observed in mid-2021 and mid-2022. Now, once again, KDA is testing this critical zone — and all eyes are on whether it will spark the next impulsive leg up.


🧠 Pattern Structure:

Price has formed a potential Triple Bottom / Rounded Accumulation pattern on the weekly chart.

Strong bullish divergence is visible (if confirmed by RSI or MACD).

Long-term sideways consolidation hints at phase of accumulation, common before breakout rallies.

A clean break above local resistance zones may trigger a multi-level Fibonacci extension rally.


🟢 Bullish Scenario:

If price holds and confirms a rebound from this yellow demand box, watch for a bullish breakout with the following key resistance targets:

1. 🔹 $0.6277 – Minor local resistance

2. 🔹 $0.8354 – Former swing high (early 2024)

3. 🔹 $1.1000 – Psychological & structural level

4. 🔹 $1.3567 – Weekly resistance

5. 🔹 $1.7615 – Medium-term target zone

💥 Extension Targets for Macro Bulls:

$5.5285 – Previous major high

$7.6381 – Major resistance from 2022

$15.3227 and $21.9739 – Long-term fib levels from all-time high retracement

✅ Bullish confirmation requires a weekly close above $1.10 with rising volume and higher highs.



🔴 Bearish Scenario:

If price closes below $0.31 with strong bearish momentum:

Expect continuation of macro downtrend.

No strong support structure below; risk of falling into uncharted territory or sub-$0.20 levels.

Breakdown could lead to capitulation and extended bear phase.

⚠️ Manage risk accordingly. Invalidating the current demand zone could shift the entire structure to a distribution model.


📊 Market Psychology & Volume Profile Insight

Extended sideways action and low volatility can signal the end of bearish momentum.

A breakout from this long-term base often leads to explosive upside as weak hands are flushed out.

Volume spikes near the bottom zones indicate smart money accumulation.


🧭 Strategic Note for Traders:

This setup offers a high reward-to-risk ratio, especially for swing and position traders. Early entry within the accumulation zone with tight stop-loss (below $0.30) could provide a golden opportunity — but only if confirmed with volume and price strength.

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