Long

LUNAUSD Worst case scenario = $130

3 013
LUNA is having a strong rebound in the past week or so but based on this long-term pattern, not as strong as the one that is about to come.

According to this, the worst case scenario for LUNAUSD is to be trading within a (green) Channel Up, which on its more modest outcome in August 2020, it made a rally and peaked just above the 3.0 Fibonacci extension. That means a price target of at least $130 on the short-term. If on the other hand it follows the more optimistic scenario of January 2021, then the rally that is about to start may take a huge parabolic turn but of course that would suggest a market cap for LUNA that many in the market would deem unrealistic at this stage. In either case, our exit signal should be when we see the 1D RSI forming a Lower Highs bearish divergence similar to July - August 2020 and February - March 2021.

Which of the two paths do you think it will follow?


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