🧾 MSFT Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-09
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Timeframe: 5–6 days
Catalysts: Overbought RSI, weakening momentum, technical divergences
Trade Type: Single-leg put option
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Direction Strike Entry Price Target Stop Loss Confidence
Grok Bearish 457.50P $0.76 $1.14 $0.19 65%
Claude Bearish 460.00P $1.03 $1.55 $0.72 70%
Gemini Bearish 457.50P $0.75 $1.20 $0.38 65%
DeepSeek Bearish 470.00P $3.65 $5.48 $2.56 70%
Llama Slightly Bullish 472.50C $3.15 $3.78 $2.83 68%
✅ Consensus: Short-term bearish trade setup
📉 Core Setup: Reversal from overbought with MACD divergence
⚠️ Outlier: Llama prefers bullish call due to longer-term trend strength
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Recap
Trend: Overextended rally, RSI (78.2) = overbought
Momentum: MACD shows bearish divergence on daily; 5-min weak
Sentiment: VIX ~16.7 = stable but cautious; mixed AI news & max pain at $460
Max Pain: $460 implies gravitational pull; current price may pull back
Volatility: Option premiums reflect narrow range, but directional edge favors downside
✅ Final Trade Recommendation
Parameter Value
Instrument MSFT
Strategy Single-leg PUT (weekly)
Strike $457.50
Entry Price $0.76 (ask)
Profit Target $1.22 (~60% gain)
Stop-Loss $0.38 (50% premium loss)
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At market open
Confidence 65%
🎯 Rationale: Near-term exhaustion of upside, short-term technical reversal, and profit-taking setup with favorable risk/reward.
⚠️ Risk Checklist
Strong trend continuation could invalidate pullback thesis
Low VIX may reduce option gamma/velocity
Sector-wide positive catalyst (AI or rate cuts) can cause rapid rebound
Watch for closes above 10-EMA (~$461) to exit early if invalidated
📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT
🎯 Instrument: MSFT
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: 457.50
💵 Entry Price: 0.76
🎯 Profit Target: 1.22
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.38
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
📏 Size: 1 contract
📈 Confidence: 65%
⏰ Entry Timing: open
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-06-09 01:44:06 EDT
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Timeframe: 5–6 days
Catalysts: Overbought RSI, weakening momentum, technical divergences
Trade Type: Single-leg put option
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Direction Strike Entry Price Target Stop Loss Confidence
Grok Bearish 457.50P $0.76 $1.14 $0.19 65%
Claude Bearish 460.00P $1.03 $1.55 $0.72 70%
Gemini Bearish 457.50P $0.75 $1.20 $0.38 65%
DeepSeek Bearish 470.00P $3.65 $5.48 $2.56 70%
Llama Slightly Bullish 472.50C $3.15 $3.78 $2.83 68%
✅ Consensus: Short-term bearish trade setup
📉 Core Setup: Reversal from overbought with MACD divergence
⚠️ Outlier: Llama prefers bullish call due to longer-term trend strength
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Recap
Trend: Overextended rally, RSI (78.2) = overbought
Momentum: MACD shows bearish divergence on daily; 5-min weak
Sentiment: VIX ~16.7 = stable but cautious; mixed AI news & max pain at $460
Max Pain: $460 implies gravitational pull; current price may pull back
Volatility: Option premiums reflect narrow range, but directional edge favors downside
✅ Final Trade Recommendation
Parameter Value
Instrument MSFT
Strategy Single-leg PUT (weekly)
Strike $457.50
Entry Price $0.76 (ask)
Profit Target $1.22 (~60% gain)
Stop-Loss $0.38 (50% premium loss)
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At market open
Confidence 65%
🎯 Rationale: Near-term exhaustion of upside, short-term technical reversal, and profit-taking setup with favorable risk/reward.
⚠️ Risk Checklist
Strong trend continuation could invalidate pullback thesis
Low VIX may reduce option gamma/velocity
Sector-wide positive catalyst (AI or rate cuts) can cause rapid rebound
Watch for closes above 10-EMA (~$461) to exit early if invalidated
📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT
🎯 Instrument: MSFT
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: 457.50
💵 Entry Price: 0.76
🎯 Profit Target: 1.22
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.38
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
📏 Size: 1 contract
📈 Confidence: 65%
⏰ Entry Timing: open
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-06-09 01:44:06 EDT
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.