MUR | Long Setup | Undervalued with Strong Dividend | (May 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Murphy Oil (MUR) is showing a pattern very similar to its 2020 structure — with a recent consolidation from late March to early May that could lead to a bounce. Technically and fundamentally, this setup looks interesting for a long entry.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Around current levels ($21–$22)
Stop Loss: $15–$16
TP1: $28
TP2: $36
TP3: $44
TP4: Let the rest run
3️⃣ Key Notes:
The stock is currently trading well below its tangible book value of $35, which suggests it's significantly undervalued. Revenue stands at 99B, net income at $400M, and EPS at $2.70. The dividend yield is an impressive 6%, and beta is 0.8 — making it relatively less volatile than the broader market.
While the company has 22B in debt and $800M in free cash flow, the debt level is not alarming for a growing business — especially one with solid dividend policies. Earnings and revenue growth are slightly down on a quarterly basis, but annual forecasts still expect moderate growth. The company may be using the high dividend to attract long-term investors while working through current headwinds.
4️⃣ Optional Follow-up Note:
This isn’t a high-conviction setup, but it has a good risk-to-reward profile (roughly 1:5). If it plays out, great — and if not, the tight stop keeps risk limited. Will monitor closely for confirmation.
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Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Murphy Oil (MUR) is showing a pattern very similar to its 2020 structure — with a recent consolidation from late March to early May that could lead to a bounce. Technically and fundamentally, this setup looks interesting for a long entry.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Around current levels ($21–$22)
Stop Loss: $15–$16
TP1: $28
TP2: $36
TP3: $44
TP4: Let the rest run
3️⃣ Key Notes:
The stock is currently trading well below its tangible book value of $35, which suggests it's significantly undervalued. Revenue stands at 99B, net income at $400M, and EPS at $2.70. The dividend yield is an impressive 6%, and beta is 0.8 — making it relatively less volatile than the broader market.
While the company has 22B in debt and $800M in free cash flow, the debt level is not alarming for a growing business — especially one with solid dividend policies. Earnings and revenue growth are slightly down on a quarterly basis, but annual forecasts still expect moderate growth. The company may be using the high dividend to attract long-term investors while working through current headwinds.
4️⃣ Optional Follow-up Note:
This isn’t a high-conviction setup, but it has a good risk-to-reward profile (roughly 1:5). If it plays out, great — and if not, the tight stop keeps risk limited. Will monitor closely for confirmation.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
2 Ways I can help you | Real Trades. Real Edge
1️⃣ The 4 Steps to Improve Your Trading Immediately: tradinggen.services/mohamad-link/
2️⃣ Get trade setups & breakdowns Here: t.me/TradeSimple_with_Mo
1️⃣ The 4 Steps to Improve Your Trading Immediately: tradinggen.services/mohamad-link/
2️⃣ Get trade setups & breakdowns Here: t.me/TradeSimple_with_Mo
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
2 Ways I can help you | Real Trades. Real Edge
1️⃣ The 4 Steps to Improve Your Trading Immediately: tradinggen.services/mohamad-link/
2️⃣ Get trade setups & breakdowns Here: t.me/TradeSimple_with_Mo
1️⃣ The 4 Steps to Improve Your Trading Immediately: tradinggen.services/mohamad-link/
2️⃣ Get trade setups & breakdowns Here: t.me/TradeSimple_with_Mo
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.