QQQ Breadth Divergence

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QQQ Rising, Breadth Weakening
  • NDX is near highs, but both NDFI (~60) and NDTH (~46) are well off their highs
  • This confirms the mega-cap concentration

ADL (Advance/Decline Line)
  • Still in an uptrend, but flattening
  • Shows breadth has not broken down completely, but is stalling while QQQ pushes higher
  • QQQ has made new highs, but the breadth line has failed to confirm (stalled since mid-2025, drifting lower)
  • Peaks in breadth (~90) in early/mid-2025 corresponded with healthier rallies
  • Recent rollover toward 60 while QQQ makes highs is a negative divergence
  • Suggests underlying participation is thinning

Support/Resistance in Breadth
  • NDFI 50 looks like a “line in the sand"
  • If it breaks, breadth would confirm a bearish setup
  • To sustain a bull case, NDFI/NDTH need to reclaim the >70
  • 50–55 is important support, if breadth breaks down here, could confirm a market top attempt
  • 70–75 is resistance - breadth must reclaim this to support further QQQ upside

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